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icon for Лиза Мурковски покинет Республиканскую партию в 2026 году?

Лиза Мурковски покинет Республиканскую партию в 2026 году?

icon for Лиза Мурковски покинет Республиканскую партию в 2026 году?

Лиза Мурковски покинет Республиканскую партию в 2026 году?

Да

18% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

18% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Murkowski leaves, or announces that she is leaving, the Republican Party by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from Murkowski that she will leave the Republican Party, join a separate party, or become an independent within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced party switch is intended to take effect or whether Murkowski intends to continue caucusing with the Republican Party. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lisa Murkowski; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sen. Lisa Murkowski remains a registered Republican caucusing with the GOP in the Senate, with no official announcements, filings, or procedural steps indicating a party switch through mid-2026. Her occasional breaks with the majority—including an April 2026 vote against a Republican budget resolution and March opposition as the lone GOP dissenter on a Trump-backed voter ID measure—reflect her established independent streak, yet she continues pursuing Senate Republican leadership roles such as the Defense Appropriations gavel. Past comments from 2025 about possibly becoming an independent have not led to any formal change, and traders view her institutional position and term extending to 2029 as strong signals she will retain her party affiliation for the remainder of the year.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Murkowski leaves, or announces that she is leaving, the Republican Party by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement from Murkowski that she will leave the Republican Party, join a separate party, or become an independent within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced party switch is intended to take effect or whether Murkowski intends to continue caucusing with the Republican Party.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lisa Murkowski; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$4,773
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 12, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Murkowski leaves, or announces that she is leaving, the Republican Party by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from Murkowski that she will leave the Republican Party, join a separate party, or become an independent within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced party switch is intended to take effect or whether Murkowski intends to continue caucusing with the Republican Party. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lisa Murkowski; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Murkowski leaves, or announces that she is leaving, the Republican Party by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from Murkowski that she will leave the Republican Party, join a separate party, or become an independent within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced party switch is intended to take effect or whether Murkowski intends to continue caucusing with the Republican Party. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lisa Murkowski; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sen. Lisa Murkowski remains a registered Republican caucusing with the GOP in the Senate, with no official announcements, filings, or procedural steps indicating a party switch through mid-2026. Her occasional breaks with the majority—including an April 2026 vote against a Republican budget resolution and March opposition as the lone GOP dissenter on a Trump-backed voter ID measure—reflect her established independent streak, yet she continues pursuing Senate Republican leadership roles such as the Defense Appropriations gavel. Past comments from 2025 about possibly becoming an independent have not led to any formal change, and traders view her institutional position and term extending to 2029 as strong signals she will retain her party affiliation for the remainder of the year.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Murkowski leaves, or announces that she is leaving, the Republican Party by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement from Murkowski that she will leave the Republican Party, join a separate party, or become an independent within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced party switch is intended to take effect or whether Murkowski intends to continue caucusing with the Republican Party.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lisa Murkowski; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$4,773
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 12, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Murkowski leaves, or announces that she is leaving, the Republican Party by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from Murkowski that she will leave the Republican Party, join a separate party, or become an independent within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced party switch is intended to take effect or whether Murkowski intends to continue caucusing with the Republican Party. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lisa Murkowski; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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