Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Busan on September 16 will settle near 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies and steady northeast winds of 10–15 mph, consistent with typical mid-September maritime conditions in the region. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 18–21°C because small differences in evening cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could trim radiative cooling by 1–2°C, while stronger onshore flow would limit further drops. The elevated probability assigned to 15°C or below reflects residual model spread and the chance of clearer skies allowing greater heat loss, though official guidance shows limited support for such cooling given current sea-surface temperatures and lack of cold-air advection. Updated runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected overnight will likely refine the exact minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Пусане 16 сентября?
15°C или ниже 91%
18°C 48%
19°C 48%
20°C 48%
15°C или ниже
91%
16°C
6%
17°C
19%
18°C
48%
19°C
48%
20°C
48%
21°C
48%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C или выше
<1%
15°C или ниже 91%
18°C 48%
19°C 48%
20°C 48%
15°C или ниже
91%
16°C
6%
17°C
19%
18°C
48%
19°C
48%
20°C
48%
21°C
48%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Busan on September 16 will settle near 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies and steady northeast winds of 10–15 mph, consistent with typical mid-September maritime conditions in the region. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 18–21°C because small differences in evening cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could trim radiative cooling by 1–2°C, while stronger onshore flow would limit further drops. The elevated probability assigned to 15°C or below reflects residual model spread and the chance of clearer skies allowing greater heat loss, though official guidance shows limited support for such cooling given current sea-surface temperatures and lack of cold-air advection. Updated runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected overnight will likely refine the exact minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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