Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies points to a nighttime low of 26–28°C in Guangzhou on August 22, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon humidity and variable cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling. High dew points near 25°C and potential scattered showers further moderate temperature drops, aligning with historical August averages of 26°C lows while urban heat effects in the city center may nudge readings slightly higher. Traders weigh these variables against subtle model differences in overnight wind patterns and precipitation timing, which could differentiate a 26°C versus 28°C outcome by a degree or two. Updated observations and final model runs overnight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 22 августа?
28°C 54%
27°C 51%
26°C 27%
25°C 21%
22°C или ниже
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
11%
25°C
21%
26°C
27%
27°C
40%
28°C
32%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C или выше
1%
28°C 54%
27°C 51%
26°C 27%
25°C 21%
22°C или ниже
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
11%
25°C
21%
26°C
27%
27°C
40%
28°C
32%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C или выше
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international agencies points to a nighttime low of 26–28°C in Guangzhou on August 22, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon humidity and variable cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling. High dew points near 25°C and potential scattered showers further moderate temperature drops, aligning with historical August averages of 26°C lows while urban heat effects in the city center may nudge readings slightly higher. Traders weigh these variables against subtle model differences in overnight wind patterns and precipitation timing, which could differentiate a 26°C versus 28°C outcome by a degree or two. Updated observations and final model runs overnight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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