Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a 17°C overnight minimum for London on July 11 amid the ongoing heatwave, with daytime highs near 30°C under high pressure and mostly clear skies. This setup favors radiative cooling after sunset, yet the urban heat island effect and light winds may moderate the drop, keeping the low near or slightly above the July climatological average of 14–15°C. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty between 16–19°C, with limited cloud cover or subtle advection shifts able to alter the exact reading. Traders price 17°C highest because it aligns with the latest official guidance, while nearby outcomes reflect the narrow forecast range typical this close to the verification window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 11 июля?
Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 11 июля?
19°C 50%
18°C 35%
20°C 11%
17°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 июл. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
5%
18°C
35%
19°C
50%
20°C
11%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C или выше
<1%
19°C 50%
18°C 35%
20°C 11%
17°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 июл. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
$185 Объем
<1%
14°C
$225 Объем
1%
15°C
$464 Объем
1%
16°C
$197 Объем
4%
17°C
$218 Объем
5%
18°C
$1,055 Объем
35%
19°C
$384 Объем
50%
20°C
$160 Объем
11%
21°C
$181 Объем
2%
22°C
$125 Объем
1%
23°C или выше
$595 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a 17°C overnight minimum for London on July 11 amid the ongoing heatwave, with daytime highs near 30°C under high pressure and mostly clear skies. This setup favors radiative cooling after sunset, yet the urban heat island effect and light winds may moderate the drop, keeping the low near or slightly above the July climatological average of 14–15°C. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty between 16–19°C, with limited cloud cover or subtle advection shifts able to alter the exact reading. Traders price 17°C highest because it aligns with the latest official guidance, while nearby outcomes reflect the narrow forecast range typical this close to the verification window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$3,787Дата окончания
11 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a 17°C overnight minimum for London on July 11 amid the ongoing heatwave, with daytime highs near 30°C under high pressure and mostly clear skies. This setup favors radiative cooling after sunset, yet the urban heat island effect and light winds may moderate the drop, keeping the low near or slightly above the July climatological average of 14–15°C. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty between 16–19°C, with limited cloud cover or subtle advection shifts able to alter the exact reading. Traders price 17°C highest because it aligns with the latest official guidance, while nearby outcomes reflect the narrow forecast range typical this close to the verification window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,787Дата окончания
11 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a 17°C overnight minimum for London on July 11 amid the ongoing heatwave, with daytime highs near 30°C under high pressure and mostly clear skies. This setup favors radiative cooling after sunset, yet the urban heat island effect and light winds may moderate the drop, keeping the low near or slightly above the July climatological average of 14–15°C. Ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty between 16–19°C, with limited cloud cover or subtle advection shifts able to alter the exact reading. Traders price 17°C highest because it aligns with the latest official guidance, while nearby outcomes reflect the narrow forecast range typical this close to the verification window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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