Recent model consensus from meteorological guidance highlights a typical overnight minimum near 13–14°C for Mexico City on August 21, consistent with the city’s 2,240 m elevation and the ongoing rainy-season pattern of afternoon convection. Variable cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms modulates nocturnal radiative cooling, producing only modest differences across ensemble runs and explaining the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around the 12–15°C outcomes. Historical climatology for late August reinforces this narrow range, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations expected to resolve the market amid limited forecast spread.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мехико 21 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Мехико 21 августа?
15°C 32%
13°C 31%
14°C 28%
16°C 28%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
28%
13°C
31%
14°C
28%
15°C
32%
16°C
28%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 32%
13°C 31%
14°C 28%
16°C 28%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 авг. 2026 г.
9°C or below
$155 Объем
<1%
10°C
$50 Объем
<1%
11°C
$128 Объем
2%
12°C
$0 Объем
28%
13°C
$1 Объем
31%
14°C
$1 Объем
28%
15°C
$1 Объем
32%
16°C
$0 Объем
28%
17°C
$204 Объем
1%
18°C
$189 Объем
<1%
19°C or higher
$196 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from meteorological guidance highlights a typical overnight minimum near 13–14°C for Mexico City on August 21, consistent with the city’s 2,240 m elevation and the ongoing rainy-season pattern of afternoon convection. Variable cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms modulates nocturnal radiative cooling, producing only modest differences across ensemble runs and explaining the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around the 12–15°C outcomes. Historical climatology for late August reinforces this narrow range, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations expected to resolve the market amid limited forecast spread.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Объем
$925Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from meteorological guidance highlights a typical overnight minimum near 13–14°C for Mexico City on August 21, consistent with the city’s 2,240 m elevation and the ongoing rainy-season pattern of afternoon convection. Variable cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms modulates nocturnal radiative cooling, producing only modest differences across ensemble runs and explaining the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around the 12–15°C outcomes. Historical climatology for late August reinforces this narrow range, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations expected to resolve the market amid limited forecast spread.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$925Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from meteorological guidance highlights a typical overnight minimum near 13–14°C for Mexico City on August 21, consistent with the city’s 2,240 m elevation and the ongoing rainy-season pattern of afternoon convection. Variable cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms modulates nocturnal radiative cooling, producing only modest differences across ensemble runs and explaining the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around the 12–15°C outcomes. Historical climatology for late August reinforces this narrow range, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations expected to resolve the market amid limited forecast spread.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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