Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles for Milan show the overnight minimum on August 22 clustered tightly around 14–17 °C, reflecting modest differences in forecast boundary-layer cooling under light northeasterly flow and limited cloud cover. Clear skies promote efficient radiative heat loss after daytime highs near 28 °C, while urban heat-island effects and residual soil moisture from earlier August warmth keep the floor from dropping further; small shifts in dew-point depression or wind speed can easily move the outcome by 1–2 °C. This narrow range aligns with climatological late-August averages near 16 °C and explains why trader probabilities remain evenly distributed across the central outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Милане 22 августа?
15°C 28%
14°C 28%
16°C 28%
12°C 27%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
28%
15°C
28%
16°C
28%
17°C
27%
18°C
26%
19°C
7%
20°C or higher
2%
15°C 28%
14°C 28%
16°C 28%
12°C 27%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
28%
15°C
28%
16°C
28%
17°C
27%
18°C
26%
19°C
7%
20°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles for Milan show the overnight minimum on August 22 clustered tightly around 14–17 °C, reflecting modest differences in forecast boundary-layer cooling under light northeasterly flow and limited cloud cover. Clear skies promote efficient radiative heat loss after daytime highs near 28 °C, while urban heat-island effects and residual soil moisture from earlier August warmth keep the floor from dropping further; small shifts in dew-point depression or wind speed can easily move the outcome by 1–2 °C. This narrow range aligns with climatological late-August averages near 16 °C and explains why trader probabilities remain evenly distributed across the central outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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