An incoming Atlantic frontal system is driving a sharp cooldown across northern Italy, with official forecasts from sources like ILMETEO.it and ECMWF ensembles pointing to Milan minimum temperatures of 17–19°C on September 10 amid widespread rain and northerly flow. This follows several days of above-average warmth, with the perturbation expected to deliver a 5–10°C drop in a short period while cloud cover and precipitation limit radiative cooling overnight. Multiple models show close agreement on the overall cooling but diverge on exact minimum timing and whether brief clearing could allow slightly lower readings, contributing to the dispersed market-implied odds across the 12–22°C range. Updated runs from European and global ensembles will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Милане 10 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Милане 10 сентября?
22°C или выше 87%
12°C или ниже 57%
16°C 27%
17°C 26%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
57%
13°C
22%
14°C
20%
15°C
24%
16°C
27%
17°C
26%
18°C
21%
19°C
20%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C или выше
87%
22°C или выше 87%
12°C или ниже 57%
16°C 27%
17°C 26%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$75 Объем
57%
13°C
$0 Объем
22%
14°C
$0 Объем
20%
15°C
$0 Объем
24%
16°C
$0 Объем
27%
17°C
$0 Объем
26%
18°C
$0 Объем
21%
19°C
$0 Объем
20%
20°C
$169 Объем
5%
21°C
$25 Объем
1%
22°C или выше
$75 Объем
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An incoming Atlantic frontal system is driving a sharp cooldown across northern Italy, with official forecasts from sources like ILMETEO.it and ECMWF ensembles pointing to Milan minimum temperatures of 17–19°C on September 10 amid widespread rain and northerly flow. This follows several days of above-average warmth, with the perturbation expected to deliver a 5–10°C drop in a short period while cloud cover and precipitation limit radiative cooling overnight. Multiple models show close agreement on the overall cooling but diverge on exact minimum timing and whether brief clearing could allow slightly lower readings, contributing to the dispersed market-implied odds across the 12–22°C range. Updated runs from European and global ensembles will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$344Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.An incoming Atlantic frontal system is driving a sharp cooldown across northern Italy, with official forecasts from sources like ILMETEO.it and ECMWF ensembles pointing to Milan minimum temperatures of 17–19°C on September 10 amid widespread rain and northerly flow. This follows several days of above-average warmth, with the perturbation expected to deliver a 5–10°C drop in a short period while cloud cover and precipitation limit radiative cooling overnight. Multiple models show close agreement on the overall cooling but diverge on exact minimum timing and whether brief clearing could allow slightly lower readings, contributing to the dispersed market-implied odds across the 12–22°C range. Updated runs from European and global ensembles will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$344Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...An incoming Atlantic frontal system is driving a sharp cooldown across northern Italy, with official forecasts from sources like ILMETEO.it and ECMWF ensembles pointing to Milan minimum temperatures of 17–19°C on September 10 amid widespread rain and northerly flow. This follows several days of above-average warmth, with the perturbation expected to deliver a 5–10°C drop in a short period while cloud cover and precipitation limit radiative cooling overnight. Multiple models show close agreement on the overall cooling but diverge on exact minimum timing and whether brief clearing could allow slightly lower readings, contributing to the dispersed market-implied odds across the 12–22°C range. Updated runs from European and global ensembles will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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