Recent model runs and observational trends position 24–26°C as the most probable high for Milan on September 11, with trader positioning reflecting this narrow spread amid lingering forecast spread. A frontal system and associated showers on September 9–10 have advected cooler maritime air into the Po Valley, lowering baseline temperatures while scattered-to-broken cloud cover on the 11th modulates daytime insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble guidance shows modest disagreement on cloud timing and thickness, which directly influences whether peak readings reach the mid-20s or remain nearer 24°C; stronger southwesterly flow could enhance mixing and push values higher, whereas persistent low stratus would cap them. Updated short-range model cycles and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 11 сентября?
25°C 39%
24°C 30%
26°C 21%
23°C 8%
18°C или ниже
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
8%
24°C
30%
25°C
39%
26°C
21%
27°C
4%
28°C или выше
2%
25°C 39%
24°C 30%
26°C 21%
23°C 8%
18°C или ниже
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
8%
24°C
30%
25°C
39%
26°C
21%
27°C
4%
28°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs and observational trends position 24–26°C as the most probable high for Milan on September 11, with trader positioning reflecting this narrow spread amid lingering forecast spread. A frontal system and associated showers on September 9–10 have advected cooler maritime air into the Po Valley, lowering baseline temperatures while scattered-to-broken cloud cover on the 11th modulates daytime insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble guidance shows modest disagreement on cloud timing and thickness, which directly influences whether peak readings reach the mid-20s or remain nearer 24°C; stronger southwesterly flow could enhance mixing and push values higher, whereas persistent low stratus would cap them. Updated short-range model cycles and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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