Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a mild overnight minimum near 18°C for Milan on September 13 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure near 1023 hPa, consistent with typical early September Po Valley conditions. Recent model runs show limited spread in low temperatures, with daytime highs reaching 25–26°C before radiative cooling begins after sunset. This setup supports the market's clustered probabilities around mid-teens to low-20s Celsius while assigning notable implied odds to both cooler and warmer extremes, reflecting residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and urban heat island effects. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine the final recorded low used for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Милане 13 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Милане 13 сентября?
21°C или выше 67%
11°C или ниже 50%
18°C 39%
20°C 37%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
50%
12°C
16%
13°C
10%
14°C
24%
15°C
32%
16°C
27%
17°C
22%
18°C
39%
19°C
13%
20°C
37%
21°C или выше
67%
21°C или выше 67%
11°C или ниже 50%
18°C 39%
20°C 37%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 сент. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
$0 Объем
50%
12°C
$30 Объем
16%
13°C
$8 Объем
10%
14°C
$0 Объем
24%
15°C
$0 Объем
32%
16°C
$0 Объем
27%
17°C
$0 Объем
22%
18°C
$114 Объем
39%
19°C
$842 Объем
13%
20°C
$0 Объем
37%
21°C или выше
$0 Объем
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a mild overnight minimum near 18°C for Milan on September 13 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure near 1023 hPa, consistent with typical early September Po Valley conditions. Recent model runs show limited spread in low temperatures, with daytime highs reaching 25–26°C before radiative cooling begins after sunset. This setup supports the market's clustered probabilities around mid-teens to low-20s Celsius while assigning notable implied odds to both cooler and warmer extremes, reflecting residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and urban heat island effects. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine the final recorded low used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$994Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a mild overnight minimum near 18°C for Milan on September 13 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure near 1023 hPa, consistent with typical early September Po Valley conditions. Recent model runs show limited spread in low temperatures, with daytime highs reaching 25–26°C before radiative cooling begins after sunset. This setup supports the market's clustered probabilities around mid-teens to low-20s Celsius while assigning notable implied odds to both cooler and warmer extremes, reflecting residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and urban heat island effects. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine the final recorded low used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$994Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a mild overnight minimum near 18°C for Milan on September 13 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure near 1023 hPa, consistent with typical early September Po Valley conditions. Recent model runs show limited spread in low temperatures, with daytime highs reaching 25–26°C before radiative cooling begins after sunset. This setup supports the market's clustered probabilities around mid-teens to low-20s Celsius while assigning notable implied odds to both cooler and warmer extremes, reflecting residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and urban heat island effects. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will refine the final recorded low used for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы