Recent forecasts from global models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 8 will likely settle near 8°C under clearing skies, light northwest winds, and building high pressure that promotes radiational cooling after sunset. Cooler maritime air advection from the northwest has displaced warmer summer air masses, aligning with seasonal transition patterns where early September minima often dip to 7–10°C. Key variables differentiating market outcomes include cloud cover persistence—which could limit cooling and support the 14°C+ scenario—and any unexpected wind shifts or model revisions that might push readings to 4°C or below. Updated NWP runs and local observations in the next 12–18 hours will refine these probabilities.