Recent forecast updates from models including GFS and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center show Moscow overnight temperatures on September 9 likely bottoming near 7–9°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling. This positions 5°C and 6°C outcomes as frontrunners in trader sentiment, with 10°C+ also attracting support amid slight model spread on exact minimums. Historical September 9 lows average around 9°C, and current conditions lack strong cold advection or cloud cover that could suppress cooling further. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of September 8 will refine the final threshold before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Москве 9 сентября?
10°C или выше 56%
5°C 34%
6°C 28%
4°C 27%
0°C или ниже
5%
1°C
9%
2°C
9%
3°C
26%
4°C
27%
5°C
34%
6°C
28%
7°C
27%
8°C
6%
9°C
8%
10°C или выше
56%
10°C или выше 56%
5°C 34%
6°C 28%
4°C 27%
0°C или ниже
5%
1°C
9%
2°C
9%
3°C
26%
4°C
27%
5°C
34%
6°C
28%
7°C
27%
8°C
6%
9°C
8%
10°C или выше
56%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from models including GFS and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center show Moscow overnight temperatures on September 9 likely bottoming near 7–9°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling. This positions 5°C and 6°C outcomes as frontrunners in trader sentiment, with 10°C+ also attracting support amid slight model spread on exact minimums. Historical September 9 lows average around 9°C, and current conditions lack strong cold advection or cloud cover that could suppress cooling further. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of September 8 will refine the final threshold before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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