Recent forecast models from GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on September 10 will likely fall in the 11–13°C range, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air ahead of a developing low-pressure system, though increasing cloud cover may limit radiative cooling. This sits above the 1991–2020 climatological low near 9°C for the date, supporting the market's leading 14°C-or-higher outcome at 41.5% implied probability while leaving room for colder outliers if winds weaken or clear skies develop. Official Roshydromet guidance and updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine dew-point and wind forecasts that most directly influence the final minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Москве 10 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Москве 10 сентября?
4°C или ниже 92%
14°C или выше 84%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 сент. 2026 г.
4°C или ниже
92%
5°C
40%
6°C
40%
7°C
22%
8°C
22%
9°C
24%
10°C
25%
11°C
32%
12°C
40%
13°C
22%
14°C или выше
84%
4°C или ниже 92%
14°C или выше 84%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 сент. 2026 г.
4°C или ниже
$30 Объем
92%
5°C
$25 Объем
40%
6°C
$0 Объем
40%
7°C
$0 Объем
22%
8°C
$0 Объем
22%
9°C
$0 Объем
24%
10°C
$0 Объем
25%
11°C
$0 Объем
32%
12°C
$0 Объем
40%
13°C
$0 Объем
22%
14°C или выше
$25 Объем
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on September 10 will likely fall in the 11–13°C range, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air ahead of a developing low-pressure system, though increasing cloud cover may limit radiative cooling. This sits above the 1991–2020 climatological low near 9°C for the date, supporting the market's leading 14°C-or-higher outcome at 41.5% implied probability while leaving room for colder outliers if winds weaken or clear skies develop. Official Roshydromet guidance and updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine dew-point and wind forecasts that most directly influence the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$80Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on September 10 will likely fall in the 11–13°C range, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air ahead of a developing low-pressure system, though increasing cloud cover may limit radiative cooling. This sits above the 1991–2020 climatological low near 9°C for the date, supporting the market's leading 14°C-or-higher outcome at 41.5% implied probability while leaving room for colder outliers if winds weaken or clear skies develop. Official Roshydromet guidance and updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine dew-point and wind forecasts that most directly influence the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$80Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on September 10 will likely fall in the 11–13°C range, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air ahead of a developing low-pressure system, though increasing cloud cover may limit radiative cooling. This sits above the 1991–2020 climatological low near 9°C for the date, supporting the market's leading 14°C-or-higher outcome at 41.5% implied probability while leaving room for colder outliers if winds weaken or clear skies develop. Official Roshydromet guidance and updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine dew-point and wind forecasts that most directly influence the final minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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