Current forecast models from sources including DWD-MOS and global ensembles indicate Munich overnight lows of roughly 5–9°C on September 22–23 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling. This setup supports trader focus on the 0–5°C band while the 37% implied probability for –1°C or below reflects awareness of historical extremes (record low –1°C in 1964) and model spread that could permit greater cooling if dew points fall further. Conversely, the 32% odds for 9°C or higher align with climatological September averages near 9°C and potential for slightly stronger mixing. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum reported by Munich stations within the 24-hour period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мюнхене 23 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Мюнхене 23 сентября?
-1°C или ниже 30%
1°C 29%
2°C 25%
0°C 24%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 сент. 2026 г.
-1°C или ниже
30%
0°C
24%
1°C
29%
2°C
25%
3°C
21%
4°C
10%
5°C
22%
6°C
16%
7°C
9%
8°C
1%
9°C или выше
-
-1°C или ниже 30%
1°C 29%
2°C 25%
0°C 24%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 сент. 2026 г.
-1°C или ниже
$0 Объем
30%
0°C
$0 Объем
24%
1°C
$0 Объем
29%
2°C
$0 Объем
25%
3°C
$0 Объем
21%
4°C
$162 Объем
10%
5°C
$0 Объем
22%
6°C
$100 Объем
16%
7°C
$153 Объем
9%
8°C
$100 Объем
1%
9°C или выше
$291 Объем
-
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including DWD-MOS and global ensembles indicate Munich overnight lows of roughly 5–9°C on September 22–23 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling. This setup supports trader focus on the 0–5°C band while the 37% implied probability for –1°C or below reflects awareness of historical extremes (record low –1°C in 1964) and model spread that could permit greater cooling if dew points fall further. Conversely, the 32% odds for 9°C or higher align with climatological September averages near 9°C and potential for slightly stronger mixing. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum reported by Munich stations within the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$806Дата окончания
23 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including DWD-MOS and global ensembles indicate Munich overnight lows of roughly 5–9°C on September 22–23 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling. This setup supports trader focus on the 0–5°C band while the 37% implied probability for –1°C or below reflects awareness of historical extremes (record low –1°C in 1964) and model spread that could permit greater cooling if dew points fall further. Conversely, the 32% odds for 9°C or higher align with climatological September averages near 9°C and potential for slightly stronger mixing. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum reported by Munich stations within the 24-hour period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$806Дата окончания
23 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including DWD-MOS and global ensembles indicate Munich overnight lows of roughly 5–9°C on September 22–23 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure favoring radiative cooling. This setup supports trader focus on the 0–5°C band while the 37% implied probability for –1°C or below reflects awareness of historical extremes (record low –1°C in 1964) and model spread that could permit greater cooling if dew points fall further. Conversely, the 32% odds for 9°C or higher align with climatological September averages near 9°C and potential for slightly stronger mixing. Resolution hinges on the official daily minimum reported by Munich stations within the 24-hour period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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