Recent forecasts from sources including GFS, DWD, and ECMWF indicate a cooling trend over Munich driven by northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a passing front, with September 21 minimum temperatures projected in the 7–11°C range. Cloud cover and light rain or showers overnight are expected to limit radiative cooling, while variable wind speeds near 3–7 m/s could further moderate the low. Historical climatology shows an average low of about 9.4°C for the date, and the current 48% market-implied odds on 7°C or below versus near-even chances around 11–14°C reflect tight model spread and sensitivity to exact cloud timing and boundary-layer conditions. Updated high-resolution runs and DWD briefings ahead of the overnight period will likely refine the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мюнхене 21 сентября?
7°C или ниже 95%
14°C 92%
11°C 90%
17°C или выше 90%
7°C или ниже
95%
8°C
39%
9°C
23%
10°C
86%
11°C
90%
12°C
37%
13°C
37%
14°C
92%
15°C
13%
16°C
13%
17°C или выше
90%
7°C или ниже 95%
14°C 92%
11°C 90%
17°C или выше 90%
7°C или ниже
95%
8°C
39%
9°C
23%
10°C
86%
11°C
90%
12°C
37%
13°C
37%
14°C
92%
15°C
13%
16°C
13%
17°C или выше
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including GFS, DWD, and ECMWF indicate a cooling trend over Munich driven by northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a passing front, with September 21 minimum temperatures projected in the 7–11°C range. Cloud cover and light rain or showers overnight are expected to limit radiative cooling, while variable wind speeds near 3–7 m/s could further moderate the low. Historical climatology shows an average low of about 9.4°C for the date, and the current 48% market-implied odds on 7°C or below versus near-even chances around 11–14°C reflect tight model spread and sensitivity to exact cloud timing and boundary-layer conditions. Updated high-resolution runs and DWD briefings ahead of the overnight period will likely refine the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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