Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS runs, indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 17 will likely settle between 11–13°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow and possible scattered showers. These conditions support radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and modest winds, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 12°C at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 13°C and 11°C. Seasonal norms place the average minimum near 11–12°C for mid-September, and current model agreement leaves little room for extremes below 10°C or above 14°C given the established steering pattern and lack of significant cold-air advection. Updated model guidance and final observational data will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market settlement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 17 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 17 сентября?
12°C 49%
11°C 24%
13°C 23%
14°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
6%
9°C
6%
10°C
7%
11°C
24%
12°C
45%
13°C
23%
14°C
10%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C или выше
2%
12°C 49%
11°C 24%
13°C 23%
14°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 сент. 2026 г.
8°C или ниже
$0 Объем
6%
9°C
$0 Объем
6%
10°C
$169 Объем
7%
11°C
$425 Объем
24%
12°C
$367 Объем
45%
13°C
$298 Объем
23%
14°C
$0 Объем
10%
15°C
$0 Объем
2%
16°C
$0 Объем
2%
17°C
$0 Объем
2%
18°C или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS runs, indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 17 will likely settle between 11–13°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow and possible scattered showers. These conditions support radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and modest winds, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 12°C at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 13°C and 11°C. Seasonal norms place the average minimum near 11–12°C for mid-September, and current model agreement leaves little room for extremes below 10°C or above 14°C given the established steering pattern and lack of significant cold-air advection. Updated model guidance and final observational data will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$1,260Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS runs, indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 17 will likely settle between 11–13°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow and possible scattered showers. These conditions support radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and modest winds, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 12°C at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 13°C and 11°C. Seasonal norms place the average minimum near 11–12°C for mid-September, and current model agreement leaves little room for extremes below 10°C or above 14°C given the established steering pattern and lack of significant cold-air advection. Updated model guidance and final observational data will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,260Дата окончания
17 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS runs, indicate overnight lows in Paris on September 17 will likely settle between 11–13°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow and possible scattered showers. These conditions support radiative cooling limited by cloud cover and modest winds, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 12°C at 44.5% implied probability, followed by 13°C and 11°C. Seasonal norms place the average minimum near 11–12°C for mid-September, and current model agreement leaves little room for extremes below 10°C or above 14°C given the established steering pattern and lack of significant cold-air advection. Updated model guidance and final observational data will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market settlement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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