Current forecasts from multiple sources, including the Israeli Meteorological Service and global models, indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on August 29 around 23–25°C under mostly clear skies and light variable winds, consistent with typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions featuring strong nighttime radiative cooling after daytime highs near 32°C. This aligns with climatological baselines for the region, where August overnight lows average near 24°C absent unusual synoptic influences. Market-implied probabilities favoring 18°C or below (40%) alongside 23–25°C outcomes may reflect trader caution over potential model spread in sea-breeze timing or localized urban heat-island effects, though no significant cold advection or pressure shifts have emerged in recent 48-hour observations to support cooler extremes. Updated model runs and official briefings will likely refine these probabilities ahead of overnight measurements.