Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum of 25°C on August 23, with some updates showing 24°C amid showers, aligning closely with the market’s top two outcomes at 39.5% and 32%. Above-normal summer temperatures driven by a strong Pacific High have suppressed typical nighttime radiative cooling, keeping lows 1–2°C above the 23°C climatological average. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and humidity levels that limit heat loss overnight, plus Tokyo’s urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C locally depending on wind patterns. Model consensus remains tight this close to the date, with any shift in steering flow or increased precipitation the main variables that could tip the lowest temperature between 24°C and 25°C before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 23 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Токио 23 августа?
24°C 56%
25°C 41%
23°C 10%
26°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
20°C or below
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
7%
23°C
10%
24°C
34%
25°C
41%
26°C
9%
27°C
5%
28°C
4%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 56%
25°C 41%
23°C 10%
26°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 авг. 2026 г.
20°C or below
$5 Объем
2%
21°C
$5 Объем
7%
22°C
$0 Объем
7%
23°C
$0 Объем
10%
24°C
$4 Объем
34%
25°C
$0 Объем
41%
26°C
$0 Объем
9%
27°C
$0 Объем
5%
28°C
$20 Объем
4%
29°C
$25 Объем
5%
30°C or higher
$25 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum of 25°C on August 23, with some updates showing 24°C amid showers, aligning closely with the market’s top two outcomes at 39.5% and 32%. Above-normal summer temperatures driven by a strong Pacific High have suppressed typical nighttime radiative cooling, keeping lows 1–2°C above the 23°C climatological average. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and humidity levels that limit heat loss overnight, plus Tokyo’s urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C locally depending on wind patterns. Model consensus remains tight this close to the date, with any shift in steering flow or increased precipitation the main variables that could tip the lowest temperature between 24°C and 25°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$84Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum of 25°C on August 23, with some updates showing 24°C amid showers, aligning closely with the market’s top two outcomes at 39.5% and 32%. Above-normal summer temperatures driven by a strong Pacific High have suppressed typical nighttime radiative cooling, keeping lows 1–2°C above the 23°C climatological average. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and humidity levels that limit heat loss overnight, plus Tokyo’s urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C locally depending on wind patterns. Model consensus remains tight this close to the date, with any shift in steering flow or increased precipitation the main variables that could tip the lowest temperature between 24°C and 25°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$84Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum of 25°C on August 23, with some updates showing 24°C amid showers, aligning closely with the market’s top two outcomes at 39.5% and 32%. Above-normal summer temperatures driven by a strong Pacific High have suppressed typical nighttime radiative cooling, keeping lows 1–2°C above the 23°C climatological average. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and humidity levels that limit heat loss overnight, plus Tokyo’s urban heat island effect, which can add 1–2°C locally depending on wind patterns. Model consensus remains tight this close to the date, with any shift in steering flow or increased precipitation the main variables that could tip the lowest temperature between 24°C and 25°C before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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