**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 17°C daily minimum for Zhengzhou on September 5, 2026, reflecting the latest consensus from numerical weather prediction models showing clear skies, light northerly winds, and efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under stable high pressure.** This positioning aligns with early-September climatology for the North China Plain, where minimum temperatures commonly fall into the 16–20°C range when daytime maxima reach 30–32°C with dew points in the mid-teens. Recent model runs from global ensembles have tightened the forecast low near 17°C, with minimal spread, supporting the market-implied odds above 99%. A realistic challenge would require either increased low-level cloud cover that reduces outgoing longwave radiation or an unexpected shift to southerly flow that advects warmer, moister air overnight; either could push the official station minimum to 18°C or higher before the 24-hour period closes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чжэнчжоу 5 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Чжэнчжоу 5 сентября?
17°C 99.4%
15°C или ниже <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
99%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C или выше
<1%
17°C 99.4%
15°C или ниже <1%
16°C <1%
18°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 сент. 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$197 Объем
1%
16°C
$32 Объем
1%
17°C
$395 Объем
99%
18°C
$243 Объем
<1%
19°C
$275 Объем
<1%
20°C
$1,175 Объем
<1%
21°C
$45 Объем
<1%
22°C
$45 Объем
<1%
23°C
$45 Объем
<1%
24°C
$45 Объем
<1%
25°C или выше
$45 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 17°C daily minimum for Zhengzhou on September 5, 2026, reflecting the latest consensus from numerical weather prediction models showing clear skies, light northerly winds, and efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under stable high pressure.**
This positioning aligns with early-September climatology for the North China Plain, where minimum temperatures commonly fall into the 16–20°C range when daytime maxima reach 30–32°C with dew points in the mid-teens. Recent model runs from global ensembles have tightened the forecast low near 17°C, with minimal spread, supporting the market-implied odds above 99%.
A realistic challenge would require either increased low-level cloud cover that reduces outgoing longwave radiation or an unexpected shift to southerly flow that advects warmer, moister air overnight; either could push the official station minimum to 18°C or higher before the 24-hour period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Объем
$2,542Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 17°C daily minimum for Zhengzhou on September 5, 2026, reflecting the latest consensus from numerical weather prediction models showing clear skies, light northerly winds, and efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under stable high pressure.**
This positioning aligns with early-September climatology for the North China Plain, where minimum temperatures commonly fall into the 16–20°C range when daytime maxima reach 30–32°C with dew points in the mid-teens. Recent model runs from global ensembles have tightened the forecast low near 17°C, with minimal spread, supporting the market-implied odds above 99%.
A realistic challenge would require either increased low-level cloud cover that reduces outgoing longwave radiation or an unexpected shift to southerly flow that advects warmer, moister air overnight; either could push the official station minimum to 18°C or higher before the 24-hour period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,542Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 17°C daily minimum for Zhengzhou on September 5, 2026, reflecting the latest consensus from numerical weather prediction models showing clear skies, light northerly winds, and efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under stable high pressure.** This positioning aligns with early-September climatology for the North China Plain, where minimum temperatures commonly fall into the 16–20°C range when daytime maxima reach 30–32°C with dew points in the mid-teens. Recent model runs from global ensembles have tightened the forecast low near 17°C, with minimal spread, supporting the market-implied odds above 99%. A realistic challenge would require either increased low-level cloud cover that reduces outgoing longwave radiation or an unexpected shift to southerly flow that advects warmer, moister air overnight; either could push the official station minimum to 18°C or higher before the 24-hour period closes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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