**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou’s September 6 high temperature centers on numerical weather model consensus pointing to 31–32°C under stable high-pressure conditions.** Current observations show sunny skies and highs near 31°C on September 5, with light northeasterly winds and low humidity supporting strong daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts from sources such as GFS and ECMWF maintain mostly clear conditions through the 6th, with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation expected, favoring peak temperatures at or above 32°C. Historical September averages for Zhengzhou hover near 27–28°C, so the current pattern represents above-normal warmth driven by persistent subsidence and weak steering flow. Resolution hinges on official station readings, typically reported by the China Meteorological Administration; any late-model shift introducing afternoon cloudiness or stronger winds could lower the maximum by 1–2°C. The 56% market-implied probability on 32°C or higher reflects this narrow but model-supported range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чжэнчжоу 6 сентября?
31°C 26%
29°C 18%
30°C 12%
28°C 3%
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
18%
30°C
12%
31°C
26%
32°C или выше
47%
31°C 26%
29°C 18%
30°C 12%
28°C 3%
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
18%
30°C
12%
31°C
26%
32°C или выше
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou’s September 6 high temperature centers on numerical weather model consensus pointing to 31–32°C under stable high-pressure conditions.** Current observations show sunny skies and highs near 31°C on September 5, with light northeasterly winds and low humidity supporting strong daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts from sources such as GFS and ECMWF maintain mostly clear conditions through the 6th, with minimal cloud cover and no precipitation expected, favoring peak temperatures at or above 32°C. Historical September averages for Zhengzhou hover near 27–28°C, so the current pattern represents above-normal warmth driven by persistent subsidence and weak steering flow. Resolution hinges on official station readings, typically reported by the China Meteorological Administration; any late-model shift introducing afternoon cloudiness or stronger winds could lower the maximum by 1–2°C. The 56% market-implied probability on 32°C or higher reflects this narrow but model-supported range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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