Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market as Labor’s preselected candidate for the September 12 vote in the remote East Arnhem Land seat. McGrath, a Yolŋu registered nurse and community advocate from Galiwin’ku, was endorsed by Territory Labor shortly after independent incumbent Yingiya Mark Guyula resigned in mid-August, citing difficulties working with the CLP government. The seat’s history as a former Labor stronghold, combined with McGrath’s local ties and focus on healthcare access, has consolidated support in a short campaign against limited opposition, including independent Andrew Blamey. Traders appear to view the outcome as largely settled ahead of early voting and election day, though a late surge in independent preferences or unusually high turnout in remote communities could still alter the result.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
Йиварр МакГрат
96%
Эндрю Блейми
3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
Йиварр МакГрат
$1,202 Объем
96%
Эндрю Блейми
$678 Объем
3%
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market as Labor’s preselected candidate for the September 12 vote in the remote East Arnhem Land seat. McGrath, a Yolŋu registered nurse and community advocate from Galiwin’ku, was endorsed by Territory Labor shortly after independent incumbent Yingiya Mark Guyula resigned in mid-August, citing difficulties working with the CLP government. The seat’s history as a former Labor stronghold, combined with McGrath’s local ties and focus on healthcare access, has consolidated support in a short campaign against limited opposition, including independent Andrew Blamey. Traders appear to view the outcome as largely settled ahead of early voting and election day, though a late surge in independent preferences or unusually high turnout in remote communities could still alter the result.
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Объем
$1,880Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://ntec.nt.gov.au/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market as Labor’s preselected candidate for the September 12 vote in the remote East Arnhem Land seat. McGrath, a Yolŋu registered nurse and community advocate from Galiwin’ku, was endorsed by Territory Labor shortly after independent incumbent Yingiya Mark Guyula resigned in mid-August, citing difficulties working with the CLP government. The seat’s history as a former Labor stronghold, combined with McGrath’s local ties and focus on healthcare access, has consolidated support in a short campaign against limited opposition, including independent Andrew Blamey. Traders appear to view the outcome as largely settled ahead of early voting and election day, though a late surge in independent preferences or unusually high turnout in remote communities could still alter the result.
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
Объем
$1,880Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://ntec.nt.gov.au/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market as Labor’s preselected candidate for the September 12 vote in the remote East Arnhem Land seat. McGrath, a Yolŋu registered nurse and community advocate from Galiwin’ku, was endorsed by Territory Labor shortly after independent incumbent Yingiya Mark Guyula resigned in mid-August, citing difficulties working with the CLP government. The seat’s history as a former Labor stronghold, combined with McGrath’s local ties and focus on healthcare access, has consolidated support in a short campaign against limited opposition, including independent Andrew Blamey. Traders appear to view the outcome as largely settled ahead of early voting and election day, though a late surge in independent preferences or unusually high turnout in remote communities could still alter the result.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы