Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 96.2% that Pluto will not be reclassified as a planet by June 30, anchored by the International Astronomical Union's (IAU) longstanding 2006 definition requiring a body to orbit the Sun, achieve hydrostatic equilibrium, and clear its orbital neighborhood—a criterion Pluto fails amid Kuiper Belt objects. Recent buzz stems from NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman's April 28 Senate testimony advocating a review and new scientific papers to challenge the status quo, yet NASA lacks authority over IAU classifications, with no scheduled IAU votes, assemblies, or proposals advancing redefinition by the deadline. Realistic shifts would demand an unprecedented emergency IAU consensus, improbable given historical stability and focus on exoplanet refinements. Watch IAU statements for any movement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПлутон переклассифицируют в планету к 30 июня?
Плутон переклассифицируют в планету к 30 июня?
Да
$21,343 Объем
$21,343 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Да
$21,343 Объем
$21,343 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Pluto is currently classified as a dwarf planet by the International Astronomical Union. NASA administrator Jared Isaacman has urged Donald Trump to declare Pluto a planet again.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 96.2% that Pluto will not be reclassified as a planet by June 30, anchored by the International Astronomical Union's (IAU) longstanding 2006 definition requiring a body to orbit the Sun, achieve hydrostatic equilibrium, and clear its orbital neighborhood—a criterion Pluto fails amid Kuiper Belt objects. Recent buzz stems from NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman's April 28 Senate testimony advocating a review and new scientific papers to challenge the status quo, yet NASA lacks authority over IAU classifications, with no scheduled IAU votes, assemblies, or proposals advancing redefinition by the deadline. Realistic shifts would demand an unprecedented emergency IAU consensus, improbable given historical stability and focus on exoplanet refinements. Watch IAU statements for any movement.
Pluto is currently classified as a dwarf planet by the International Astronomical Union. NASA administrator Jared Isaacman has urged Donald Trump to declare Pluto a planet again.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.
Открытие рынка: Apr 9, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Объем
$21,343Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pluto is currently classified as a dwarf planet by the International Astronomical Union. NASA administrator Jared Isaacman has urged Donald Trump to declare Pluto a planet again.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 96.2% that Pluto will not be reclassified as a planet by June 30, anchored by the International Astronomical Union's (IAU) longstanding 2006 definition requiring a body to orbit the Sun, achieve hydrostatic equilibrium, and clear its orbital neighborhood—a criterion Pluto fails amid Kuiper Belt objects. Recent buzz stems from NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman's April 28 Senate testimony advocating a review and new scientific papers to challenge the status quo, yet NASA lacks authority over IAU classifications, with no scheduled IAU votes, assemblies, or proposals advancing redefinition by the deadline. Realistic shifts would demand an unprecedented emergency IAU consensus, improbable given historical stability and focus on exoplanet refinements. Watch IAU statements for any movement.
Pluto is currently classified as a dwarf planet by the International Astronomical Union. NASA administrator Jared Isaacman has urged Donald Trump to declare Pluto a planet again.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.
Объем
$21,343Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 96.2% that Pluto will not be reclassified as a planet by June 30, anchored by the International Astronomical Union's (IAU) longstanding 2006 definition requiring a body to orbit the Sun, achieve hydrostatic equilibrium, and clear its orbital neighborhood—a criterion Pluto fails amid Kuiper Belt objects. Recent buzz stems from NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman's April 28 Senate testimony advocating a review and new scientific papers to challenge the status quo, yet NASA lacks authority over IAU classifications, with no scheduled IAU votes, assemblies, or proposals advancing redefinition by the deadline. Realistic shifts would demand an unprecedented emergency IAU consensus, improbable given historical stability and focus on exoplanet refinements. Watch IAU statements for any movement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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