OpenAI's commanding 96.5% implied probability reflects its sustained lead in AI agent development through demonstrated capabilities in models like GPT-4o and o-series reasoning systems, which support multi-step task execution and tool use. Traders see these as superior to peers in benchmarks and real-world deployments, reinforced by ecosystem integrations and developer adoption. Anthropic and others trail due to narrower agent-specific releases or less mature frameworks. A late-September surprise from Google DeepMind or Anthropic, such as a new agent benchmark win or regulatory edge, could narrow the gap, though OpenAI's momentum makes such shifts unlikely before month-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВторая лучшая лаборатория ИИ-агентов в конце сентября?
OpenAI 97.0%
Anthropic 3.5%
Moonshot 1.1%
SpaceXAI <1%
$59,210 Объем
$59,210 Объем

OpenAI
97%

Anthropic
3%

Moonshot
1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

Meta
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
OpenAI 97.0%
Anthropic 3.5%
Moonshot 1.1%
SpaceXAI <1%
$59,210 Объем
$59,210 Объем

OpenAI
97%

Anthropic
3%

Moonshot
1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

Meta
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's commanding 96.5% implied probability reflects its sustained lead in AI agent development through demonstrated capabilities in models like GPT-4o and o-series reasoning systems, which support multi-step task execution and tool use. Traders see these as superior to peers in benchmarks and real-world deployments, reinforced by ecosystem integrations and developer adoption. Anthropic and others trail due to narrower agent-specific releases or less mature frameworks. A late-September surprise from Google DeepMind or Anthropic, such as a new agent benchmark win or regulatory edge, could narrow the gap, though OpenAI's momentum makes such shifts unlikely before month-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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