Swiss voters face a June 14 referendum on two contentious issues: the Swiss People's Party-led popular initiative "No to a Switzerland with 10 million," seeking to cap permanent residents below 10 million by 2050 via immigration curbs, asylum limits, and potential termination of EU free movement of persons if thresholds are breached; and an optional referendum challenging parliamentary amendments to the Civilian Service Act, which impose a 150-day minimum service requirement to discourage late switches from military duty. A gfs.bern/SRG poll released May 7 showed a deadlock at 50% support for the population cap despite Federal Council opposition citing economic risks, with a narrow majority favoring civilian service reforms amid rising opt-outs. Recent united opposition from cantons and cities to the initiative, coupled with official vote scheduling by the Federal Chancellery, underscores tight races; historical trends suggest initiative support often erodes closer to voting day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоИюньский референдум в Швейцарии: что пройдет?
Июньский референдум в Швейцарии: что пройдет?
$99,145 Объем
14 июн. 2026 г.
Закон о гражданской службе
76%
Нет десяти миллионам Швейцарии
39%
$99,145 Объем
Закон о гражданской службе
$6,320 Объем
76%
Нет десяти миллионам Швейцарии
$92,825 Объем
39%
As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on June 14, 2026 :
- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Swiss voters face a June 14 referendum on two contentious issues: the Swiss People's Party-led popular initiative "No to a Switzerland with 10 million," seeking to cap permanent residents below 10 million by 2050 via immigration curbs, asylum limits, and potential termination of EU free movement of persons if thresholds are breached; and an optional referendum challenging parliamentary amendments to the Civilian Service Act, which impose a 150-day minimum service requirement to discourage late switches from military duty. A gfs.bern/SRG poll released May 7 showed a deadlock at 50% support for the population cap despite Federal Council opposition citing economic risks, with a narrow majority favoring civilian service reforms amid rising opt-outs. Recent united opposition from cantons and cities to the initiative, coupled with official vote scheduling by the Federal Chancellery, underscores tight races; historical trends suggest initiative support often erodes closer to voting day.
As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on June 14, 2026 :
- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
Объем
$99,145Дата окончания
14 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on June 14, 2026 :
- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Swiss voters face a June 14 referendum on two contentious issues: the Swiss People's Party-led popular initiative "No to a Switzerland with 10 million," seeking to cap permanent residents below 10 million by 2050 via immigration curbs, asylum limits, and potential termination of EU free movement of persons if thresholds are breached; and an optional referendum challenging parliamentary amendments to the Civilian Service Act, which impose a 150-day minimum service requirement to discourage late switches from military duty. A gfs.bern/SRG poll released May 7 showed a deadlock at 50% support for the population cap despite Federal Council opposition citing economic risks, with a narrow majority favoring civilian service reforms amid rising opt-outs. Recent united opposition from cantons and cities to the initiative, coupled with official vote scheduling by the Federal Chancellery, underscores tight races; historical trends suggest initiative support often erodes closer to voting day.
As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on June 14, 2026 :
- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Объем
$99,145Дата окончания
14 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Swiss voters face a June 14 referendum on two contentious issues: the Swiss People's Party-led popular initiative "No to a Switzerland with 10 million," seeking to cap permanent residents below 10 million by 2050 via immigration curbs, asylum limits, and potential termination of EU free movement of persons if thresholds are breached; and an optional referendum challenging parliamentary amendments to the Civilian Service Act, which impose a 150-day minimum service requirement to discourage late switches from military duty. A gfs.bern/SRG poll released May 7 showed a deadlock at 50% support for the population cap despite Federal Council opposition citing economic risks, with a narrow majority favoring civilian service reforms amid rising opt-outs. Recent united opposition from cantons and cities to the initiative, coupled with official vote scheduling by the Federal Chancellery, underscores tight races; historical trends suggest initiative support often erodes closer to voting day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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