Recent housing data releases and persistent mortgage rate levels around 6.1% have kept trader sentiment balanced across narrow bands for the San Francisco metro median home value on May 31. March reports showed single-family median sale prices rising 18% year-over-year to $2.15 million locally, while broader metro Zillow values hovered near $1.37 million with modest monthly gains amid tight inventory and AI-driven tech employment gains. Elevated Fed funds rates continue to weigh on affordability and buyer demand, offsetting these positives and producing closely matched market-implied odds centered on the 1.228–1.249 million range. With resolution just days away, any final May inventory or seasonal adjustments could shift probabilities within these contested outcomes, underscoring the sensitivity of near-term price discovery.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWhat will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?
What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?
1.228 - 1.238m 35%
1.238 - 1.249m 20%
1.249 - 1.259m 19%
1.259 - 1.27m 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 мая 2026 г.
<1.228m
38%
1.228 - 1.238m
32%
1.238 - 1.249m
25%
1.249 - 1.259m
17%
1.259 - 1.27m
14%
1.27 - 1.28m
8%
1.28 - 1.301m
10%
>1.301m
10%
1.228 - 1.238m 35%
1.238 - 1.249m 20%
1.249 - 1.259m 19%
1.259 - 1.27m 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 мая 2026 г.
<1.228m
$167 Объем
38%
1.228 - 1.238m
$62 Объем
32%
1.238 - 1.249m
$436 Объем
25%
1.249 - 1.259m
$1,325 Объем
17%
1.259 - 1.27m
$0 Объем
14%
1.27 - 1.28m
$0 Объем
8%
1.28 - 1.301m
$0 Объем
10%
>1.301m
$0 Объем
10%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)Recent housing data releases and persistent mortgage rate levels around 6.1% have kept trader sentiment balanced across narrow bands for the San Francisco metro median home value on May 31. March reports showed single-family median sale prices rising 18% year-over-year to $2.15 million locally, while broader metro Zillow values hovered near $1.37 million with modest monthly gains amid tight inventory and AI-driven tech employment gains. Elevated Fed funds rates continue to weigh on affordability and buyer demand, offsetting these positives and producing closely matched market-implied odds centered on the 1.228–1.249 million range. With resolution just days away, any final May inventory or seasonal adjustments could shift probabilities within these contested outcomes, underscoring the sensitivity of near-term price discovery.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Открытие рынка: May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Объем
$1,990Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)Recent housing data releases and persistent mortgage rate levels around 6.1% have kept trader sentiment balanced across narrow bands for the San Francisco metro median home value on May 31. March reports showed single-family median sale prices rising 18% year-over-year to $2.15 million locally, while broader metro Zillow values hovered near $1.37 million with modest monthly gains amid tight inventory and AI-driven tech employment gains. Elevated Fed funds rates continue to weigh on affordability and buyer demand, offsetting these positives and producing closely matched market-implied odds centered on the 1.228–1.249 million range. With resolution just days away, any final May inventory or seasonal adjustments could shift probabilities within these contested outcomes, underscoring the sensitivity of near-term price discovery.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Объем
$1,990Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent housing data releases and persistent mortgage rate levels around 6.1% have kept trader sentiment balanced across narrow bands for the San Francisco metro median home value on May 31. March reports showed single-family median sale prices rising 18% year-over-year to $2.15 million locally, while broader metro Zillow values hovered near $1.37 million with modest monthly gains amid tight inventory and AI-driven tech employment gains. Elevated Fed funds rates continue to weigh on affordability and buyer demand, offsetting these positives and producing closely matched market-implied odds centered on the 1.228–1.249 million range. With resolution just days away, any final May inventory or seasonal adjustments could shift probabilities within these contested outcomes, underscoring the sensitivity of near-term price discovery.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы