Waymo's recent public robotaxi launches in Nashville on April 7 and Dallas in February have solidified trader consensus, with implied probabilities at 93% and 82% respectively for service availability to the general public via the Waymo One app by June 30—meeting strict market criteria excluding pilots or employee tests. A May 13 announcement expanded operational areas across 11 cities including Austin, Atlanta, Houston, and the San Francisco Bay Area to over 1,400 square miles, timed for FIFA World Cup demand in host cities like Miami and Los Angeles, signaling aggressive scaling amid Tesla's Texas expansions. Lower odds for Denver and Las Vegas (9% each) reflect unconfirmed timelines despite 2026 plans, hinging on regulatory approvals and safety milestones.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВ каких городах Waymo запустится до 30 июня?
В каких городах Waymo запустится до 30 июня?
$236,599 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Нэшвилл
93%
Даллас
80%
Денвер
10%
Лас-Вегас
9%
Нью-Йорк
6%
Лондон
4%
Вашингтон, округ Колумбия
3%
Детройт
3%
$236,599 Объем
Нэшвилл
$37,600 Объем
93%
Даллас
$26,803 Объем
80%
Денвер
$10,491 Объем
10%
Лас-Вегас
$59,177 Объем
9%
Нью-Йорк
$15,032 Объем
6%
Лондон
$7,756 Объем
4%
Вашингтон, округ Колумбия
$13,013 Объем
3%
Детройт
$17,279 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Waymo's recent public robotaxi launches in Nashville on April 7 and Dallas in February have solidified trader consensus, with implied probabilities at 93% and 82% respectively for service availability to the general public via the Waymo One app by June 30—meeting strict market criteria excluding pilots or employee tests. A May 13 announcement expanded operational areas across 11 cities including Austin, Atlanta, Houston, and the San Francisco Bay Area to over 1,400 square miles, timed for FIFA World Cup demand in host cities like Miami and Los Angeles, signaling aggressive scaling amid Tesla's Texas expansions. Lower odds for Denver and Las Vegas (9% each) reflect unconfirmed timelines despite 2026 plans, hinging on regulatory approvals and safety milestones.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ET
Объем
$236,599Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Waymo's recent public robotaxi launches in Nashville on April 7 and Dallas in February have solidified trader consensus, with implied probabilities at 93% and 82% respectively for service availability to the general public via the Waymo One app by June 30—meeting strict market criteria excluding pilots or employee tests. A May 13 announcement expanded operational areas across 11 cities including Austin, Atlanta, Houston, and the San Francisco Bay Area to over 1,400 square miles, timed for FIFA World Cup demand in host cities like Miami and Los Angeles, signaling aggressive scaling amid Tesla's Texas expansions. Lower odds for Denver and Las Vegas (9% each) reflect unconfirmed timelines despite 2026 plans, hinging on regulatory approvals and safety milestones.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$236,599Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Waymo's recent public robotaxi launches in Nashville on April 7 and Dallas in February have solidified trader consensus, with implied probabilities at 93% and 82% respectively for service availability to the general public via the Waymo One app by June 30—meeting strict market criteria excluding pilots or employee tests. A May 13 announcement expanded operational areas across 11 cities including Austin, Atlanta, Houston, and the San Francisco Bay Area to over 1,400 square miles, timed for FIFA World Cup demand in host cities like Miami and Los Angeles, signaling aggressive scaling amid Tesla's Texas expansions. Lower odds for Denver and Las Vegas (9% each) reflect unconfirmed timelines despite 2026 plans, hinging on regulatory approvals and safety milestones.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы