Traders assign Anthropic a dominant 75% implied probability for the second-best large language model by end of June because its Claude Opus 4.7 and Sonnet variants continue to lead key coding and agentic benchmarks, including SWE-Bench Verified scores above 80% and strong developer preference data. Recent enterprise adoption metrics show Anthropic overtaking OpenAI in business usage, driven by practical strengths in complex reasoning, tool use, and long-context workflows. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro maintains competitive positioning through superior results on certain reasoning and math evaluations, yet trails in coding-specific tasks and enterprise momentum. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 release in late April reinforced its top-tier standing but has not displaced Claude’s edge in the metrics traders track most closely for this resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакая компания имеет вторую лучшую модель ИИ в конце июня?
Какая компания имеет вторую лучшую модель ИИ в конце июня?
Anthropic 75%
Google 15%
OpenAI 6.9%
xAI 2.2%
$401,058 Объем
$401,058 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Anthropic
75%
15%
OpenAI
7%
xAI
2%
DeepSeek
1%
Microsoft
1%
Meta
1%
Alibaba
1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Anthropic 75%
Google 15%
OpenAI 6.9%
xAI 2.2%
$401,058 Объем
$401,058 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Anthropic
$14,745 Объем
75%
$5,648 Объем
15%
OpenAI
$34,221 Объем
7%
xAI
$14,901 Объем
2%
DeepSeek
$249,054 Объем
1%
Microsoft
$5,685 Объем
1%
Meta
$4,186 Объем
1%
Alibaba
$6,636 Объем
1%
Moonshot
$4,922 Объем
<1%
Baidu
$4,429 Объем
<1%
Z.ai
$9,345 Объем
<1%
Meituan
$34,087 Объем
<1%
Mistral
$5,557 Объем
<1%
Amazon
$2,909 Объем
<1%
ByteDance
$4,734 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders assign Anthropic a dominant 75% implied probability for the second-best large language model by end of June because its Claude Opus 4.7 and Sonnet variants continue to lead key coding and agentic benchmarks, including SWE-Bench Verified scores above 80% and strong developer preference data. Recent enterprise adoption metrics show Anthropic overtaking OpenAI in business usage, driven by practical strengths in complex reasoning, tool use, and long-context workflows. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro maintains competitive positioning through superior results on certain reasoning and math evaluations, yet trails in coding-specific tasks and enterprise momentum. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 release in late April reinforced its top-tier standing but has not displaced Claude’s edge in the metrics traders track most closely for this resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Объем
$401,058Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders assign Anthropic a dominant 75% implied probability for the second-best large language model by end of June because its Claude Opus 4.7 and Sonnet variants continue to lead key coding and agentic benchmarks, including SWE-Bench Verified scores above 80% and strong developer preference data. Recent enterprise adoption metrics show Anthropic overtaking OpenAI in business usage, driven by practical strengths in complex reasoning, tool use, and long-context workflows. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro maintains competitive positioning through superior results on certain reasoning and math evaluations, yet trails in coding-specific tasks and enterprise momentum. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 release in late April reinforced its top-tier standing but has not displaced Claude’s edge in the metrics traders track most closely for this resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$401,058Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders assign Anthropic a dominant 75% implied probability for the second-best large language model by end of June because its Claude Opus 4.7 and Sonnet variants continue to lead key coding and agentic benchmarks, including SWE-Bench Verified scores above 80% and strong developer preference data. Recent enterprise adoption metrics show Anthropic overtaking OpenAI in business usage, driven by practical strengths in complex reasoning, tool use, and long-context workflows. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro maintains competitive positioning through superior results on certain reasoning and math evaluations, yet trails in coding-specific tasks and enterprise momentum. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 release in late April reinforced its top-tier standing but has not displaced Claude’s edge in the metrics traders track most closely for this resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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