CME Group’s April 1, 2026 self-certification filing under CFTC Regulation 40.2 has locked in 100% implied probability for that outcome by the June 30 deadline, reflecting the exchange’s established infrastructure for event contracts. A March 2026 CFTC Division of Market Oversight advisory clarified requirements for sports-related listings, including pre-filing engagement with leagues and real-time surveillance to address manipulation risks, while the Commission’s post-2025 leadership shift has sustained a permissive stance toward self-certified products. Other DCMs such as LedgerX, Railbird, and Aristotle continue to show mid-60% to low-80% odds amid ongoing volume, as traders weigh filing timelines against heightened scrutiny for contracts tied to officiating or player performance. Key near-term catalysts include any additional league MOUs or CFTC staff requests that could accelerate or delay remaining submissions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакие DCM самостоятельно сертифицируют контракты на спортивные мероприятия до 30 июня?
$110,125 Объем

Railbird
67%

Aristotle
52%

Small Exchange
29%

ForecastEx
9%

CBOE
7%

The Clearing Company
7%

ICE
5%
$110,125 Объем

Railbird
67%

Aristotle
52%

Small Exchange
29%

ForecastEx
9%

CBOE
7%

The Clearing Company
7%

ICE
5%
The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...CME Group’s April 1, 2026 self-certification filing under CFTC Regulation 40.2 has locked in 100% implied probability for that outcome by the June 30 deadline, reflecting the exchange’s established infrastructure for event contracts. A March 2026 CFTC Division of Market Oversight advisory clarified requirements for sports-related listings, including pre-filing engagement with leagues and real-time surveillance to address manipulation risks, while the Commission’s post-2025 leadership shift has sustained a permissive stance toward self-certified products. Other DCMs such as LedgerX, Railbird, and Aristotle continue to show mid-60% to low-80% odds amid ongoing volume, as traders weigh filing timelines against heightened scrutiny for contracts tied to officiating or player performance. Key near-term catalysts include any additional league MOUs or CFTC staff requests that could accelerate or delay remaining submissions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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