Trader consensus assigns a 95.5% implied probability to SpaceX listing on Nasdaq, reflecting recent evidence from confidential SEC IPO filings targeting a June debut at a potential $2 trillion valuation, alongside Nasdaq's fast-tracked rules for immediate Nasdaq-100 index inclusion after just 15 days— a strategic concession designed to attract megacap space ventures like SpaceX with its Starlink satellite constellation and reusable rocket missions. This positions Nasdaq as the frontrunner, leveraging its tech-heavy ecosystem and historical success with peers like Tesla, while NYSE trails at 1.1% absent comparable incentives. Realistic challenges include Elon Musk pivoting to NYSE for broader liquidity or an outlier like the Texas Stock Exchange amid Texas HQ expansions; key updates hinge on SEC reviews and public S-1 disclosures in the next few weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНа какой бирже будет размещаться SpaceX?
На какой бирже будет размещаться SpaceX?
NASDAQ 96%
Другое 4.0%
NYSE <1%
$100,485 Объем
$100,485 Объем
NASDAQ
96%
Другое
4%
NYSE
1%
NASDAQ 96%
Другое 4.0%
NYSE <1%
$100,485 Объем
$100,485 Объем
NASDAQ
96%
Другое
4%
NYSE
1%
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 95.5% implied probability to SpaceX listing on Nasdaq, reflecting recent evidence from confidential SEC IPO filings targeting a June debut at a potential $2 trillion valuation, alongside Nasdaq's fast-tracked rules for immediate Nasdaq-100 index inclusion after just 15 days— a strategic concession designed to attract megacap space ventures like SpaceX with its Starlink satellite constellation and reusable rocket missions. This positions Nasdaq as the frontrunner, leveraging its tech-heavy ecosystem and historical success with peers like Tesla, while NYSE trails at 1.1% absent comparable incentives. Realistic challenges include Elon Musk pivoting to NYSE for broader liquidity or an outlier like the Texas Stock Exchange amid Texas HQ expansions; key updates hinge on SEC reviews and public S-1 disclosures in the next few weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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