Elevated crude oil prices near $82 per barrel, supported by persistent volatility in the Strait of Hormuz and supply constraints from Middle East tensions plus Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries, are sustaining U.S. retail gasoline averages at $4.09–$4.14 per gallon as of late August 2026. This marks the highest levels ever recorded for the month, with inventories running below seasonal norms and refinery utilization near capacity amid strong summer demand. Trader sentiment on whether national averages reach or exceed key thresholds by end-September reflects these tight fundamentals, tempered by potential easing if geopolitical risks subside before the Labor Day holiday surge and subsequent seasonal decline. Upcoming EIA inventory reports and any diplomatic developments will likely influence near-term price direction and market-implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
30 сент. 2026 г.
↑ $4.50
39%
↑ $4.40
47%
↑ $4.30
50%
↑ $4.20
55%
↓ $4.00
55%
↓ $3.90
47%
↓ $3.70
38%
↓ $3.50
33%
$0.00 Объем
↑ $4.50
$0 Объем
39%
↑ $4.40
$0 Объем
47%
↑ $4.30
$0 Объем
50%
↑ $4.20
$0 Объем
55%
↓ $4.00
$0 Объем
55%
↓ $3.90
$0 Объем
47%
↓ $3.70
$0 Объем
38%
↓ $3.50
$0 Объем
33%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated crude oil prices near $82 per barrel, supported by persistent volatility in the Strait of Hormuz and supply constraints from Middle East tensions plus Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries, are sustaining U.S. retail gasoline averages at $4.09–$4.14 per gallon as of late August 2026. This marks the highest levels ever recorded for the month, with inventories running below seasonal norms and refinery utilization near capacity amid strong summer demand. Trader sentiment on whether national averages reach or exceed key thresholds by end-September reflects these tight fundamentals, tempered by potential easing if geopolitical risks subside before the Labor Day holiday surge and subsequent seasonal decline. Upcoming EIA inventory reports and any diplomatic developments will likely influence near-term price direction and market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated crude oil prices near $82 per barrel, supported by persistent volatility in the Strait of Hormuz and supply constraints from Middle East tensions plus Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries, are sustaining U.S. retail gasoline averages at $4.09–$4.14 per gallon as of late August 2026. This marks the highest levels ever recorded for the month, with inventories running below seasonal norms and refinery utilization near capacity amid strong summer demand. Trader sentiment on whether national averages reach or exceed key thresholds by end-September reflects these tight fundamentals, tempered by potential easing if geopolitical risks subside before the Labor Day holiday surge and subsequent seasonal decline. Upcoming EIA inventory reports and any diplomatic developments will likely influence near-term price direction and market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Объем
$0Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Elevated crude oil prices near $82 per barrel, supported by persistent volatility in the Strait of Hormuz and supply constraints from Middle East tensions plus Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries, are sustaining U.S. retail gasoline averages at $4.09–$4.14 per gallon as of late August 2026. This marks the highest levels ever recorded for the month, with inventories running below seasonal norms and refinery utilization near capacity amid strong summer demand. Trader sentiment on whether national averages reach or exceed key thresholds by end-September reflects these tight fundamentals, tempered by potential easing if geopolitical risks subside before the Labor Day holiday surge and subsequent seasonal decline. Upcoming EIA inventory reports and any diplomatic developments will likely influence near-term price direction and market-implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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