Traders assign a 94.5% probability to no formal annexation of West Bank territory by the end of 2026 because Israeli policy has emphasized de facto administrative integration, settlement expansion, and land registration rather than an official sovereignty declaration comparable to the 1980 Jerusalem Law. Recent steps include tenders for over 3,400 housing units in the E1 area east of Jerusalem and advancement of 153 settlement plans in 2026, alongside efforts to shift civilian oversight to ministries under Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich. These measures fragment Palestinian contiguity and strengthen control in Area C without triggering the legislative or diplomatic costs of formal annexation. Netanyahu has resisted Knesset annexation bills amid U.S. opposition, international pressure, coalition dynamics, and the October 2026 elections, keeping explicit sovereignty claims off the immediate agenda despite non-binding resolutions favoring the policy.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБудет ли Израиль аннексировать территорию Западного берега до 2027 года?
Будет ли Израиль аннексировать территорию Западного берега до 2027 года?
Да
6% вероятность
$90,942 Объем
$90,942 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
6% вероятность
$90,942 Объем
$90,942 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 94.5% probability to no formal annexation of West Bank territory by the end of 2026 because Israeli policy has emphasized de facto administrative integration, settlement expansion, and land registration rather than an official sovereignty declaration comparable to the 1980 Jerusalem Law. Recent steps include tenders for over 3,400 housing units in the E1 area east of Jerusalem and advancement of 153 settlement plans in 2026, alongside efforts to shift civilian oversight to ministries under Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich. These measures fragment Palestinian contiguity and strengthen control in Area C without triggering the legislative or diplomatic costs of formal annexation. Netanyahu has resisted Knesset annexation bills amid U.S. opposition, international pressure, coalition dynamics, and the October 2026 elections, keeping explicit sovereignty claims off the immediate agenda despite non-binding resolutions favoring the policy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
Объем
$90,942Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 94.5% probability to no formal annexation of West Bank territory by the end of 2026 because Israeli policy has emphasized de facto administrative integration, settlement expansion, and land registration rather than an official sovereignty declaration comparable to the 1980 Jerusalem Law. Recent steps include tenders for over 3,400 housing units in the E1 area east of Jerusalem and advancement of 153 settlement plans in 2026, alongside efforts to shift civilian oversight to ministries under Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich. These measures fragment Palestinian contiguity and strengthen control in Area C without triggering the legislative or diplomatic costs of formal annexation. Netanyahu has resisted Knesset annexation bills amid U.S. opposition, international pressure, coalition dynamics, and the October 2026 elections, keeping explicit sovereignty claims off the immediate agenda despite non-binding resolutions favoring the policy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$90,942Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 94.5% probability to no formal annexation of West Bank territory by the end of 2026 because Israeli policy has emphasized de facto administrative integration, settlement expansion, and land registration rather than an official sovereignty declaration comparable to the 1980 Jerusalem Law. Recent steps include tenders for over 3,400 housing units in the E1 area east of Jerusalem and advancement of 153 settlement plans in 2026, alongside efforts to shift civilian oversight to ministries under Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich. These measures fragment Palestinian contiguity and strengthen control in Area C without triggering the legislative or diplomatic costs of formal annexation. Netanyahu has resisted Knesset annexation bills amid U.S. opposition, international pressure, coalition dynamics, and the October 2026 elections, keeping explicit sovereignty claims off the immediate agenda despite non-binding resolutions favoring the policy.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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