Recent polling and seat projections for Quebec’s October 5 general election show negligible support for the Parti Vert du Québec, with vote intentions and forecasts centered on the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire. Aggregators such as 338Canada and Poliwave allocate no projected seats to PVQ, while QS holds a narrow but consistent path to single-digit representation. The campaign, underway since late August, has featured no notable PVQ candidacies, endorsements, or regional breakthroughs that would alter this baseline. Trader consensus therefore assigns an 88.5% probability that PVQ will win zero seats, reflecting the party’s structural absence from competitive ridings and the concentration of voter support among larger formations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено14% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 окт. 2026 г.
14% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 окт. 2026 г.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling and seat projections for Quebec’s October 5 general election show negligible support for the Parti Vert du Québec, with vote intentions and forecasts centered on the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire. Aggregators such as 338Canada and Poliwave allocate no projected seats to PVQ, while QS holds a narrow but consistent path to single-digit representation. The campaign, underway since late August, has featured no notable PVQ candidacies, endorsements, or regional breakthroughs that would alter this baseline. Trader consensus therefore assigns an 88.5% probability that PVQ will win zero seats, reflecting the party’s structural absence from competitive ridings and the concentration of voter support among larger formations.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
Объем
$106Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling and seat projections for Quebec’s October 5 general election show negligible support for the Parti Vert du Québec, with vote intentions and forecasts centered on the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire. Aggregators such as 338Canada and Poliwave allocate no projected seats to PVQ, while QS holds a narrow but consistent path to single-digit representation. The campaign, underway since late August, has featured no notable PVQ candidacies, endorsements, or regional breakthroughs that would alter this baseline. Trader consensus therefore assigns an 88.5% probability that PVQ will win zero seats, reflecting the party’s structural absence from competitive ridings and the concentration of voter support among larger formations.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Parti vert du Québec (PVQ) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Объем
$106Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 3:43 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Recent polling and seat projections for Quebec’s October 5 general election show negligible support for the Parti Vert du Québec, with vote intentions and forecasts centered on the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire. Aggregators such as 338Canada and Poliwave allocate no projected seats to PVQ, while QS holds a narrow but consistent path to single-digit representation. The campaign, underway since late August, has featured no notable PVQ candidacies, endorsements, or regional breakthroughs that would alter this baseline. Trader consensus therefore assigns an 88.5% probability that PVQ will win zero seats, reflecting the party’s structural absence from competitive ridings and the concentration of voter support among larger formations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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