Current 30-year mortgage rates hover near 6.4 percent in mid-May 2026, closely tracking elevated 10-year Treasury yields amid sticky inflation readings and tempered expectations for further Federal Reserve easing. Persistent core CPI and PCE prints above the 2 percent target, combined with resilient labor-market data, have supported higher-for-longer pricing in the bond market and kept mortgage spreads stable. Forecasters from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association project averages between 6.1 percent and 6.3 percent through year-end, implying limited downside unless incoming inflation data or a dovish FOMC shift re-anchors long-term yields lower. Key near-term catalysts include the next CPI release, May FOMC minutes, and any revisions to growth or employment figures that could alter the market-implied rate path.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДостигнет ли 30-летняя ставка по ипотеке __ в 2026 году?
Достигнет ли 30-летняя ставка по ипотеке __ в 2026 году?
$49,755 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
↑ 7,00%
44%
↑ 6,75%
52%
↑ 6,50%
79%
↓ 5,90%
46%
↓ 5,70%
43%
↓ 5,50%
52%
$49,755 Объем
↑ 7,00%
$26 Объем
44%
↑ 6,75%
$118 Объем
52%
↑ 6,50%
$6,700 Объем
79%
↓ 5,90%
$6,005 Объем
46%
↓ 5,70%
$6,769 Объем
43%
↓ 5,50%
$25 Объем
52%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Current 30-year mortgage rates hover near 6.4 percent in mid-May 2026, closely tracking elevated 10-year Treasury yields amid sticky inflation readings and tempered expectations for further Federal Reserve easing. Persistent core CPI and PCE prints above the 2 percent target, combined with resilient labor-market data, have supported higher-for-longer pricing in the bond market and kept mortgage spreads stable. Forecasters from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association project averages between 6.1 percent and 6.3 percent through year-end, implying limited downside unless incoming inflation data or a dovish FOMC shift re-anchors long-term yields lower. Key near-term catalysts include the next CPI release, May FOMC minutes, and any revisions to growth or employment figures that could alter the market-implied rate path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Объем
$49,755Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Current 30-year mortgage rates hover near 6.4 percent in mid-May 2026, closely tracking elevated 10-year Treasury yields amid sticky inflation readings and tempered expectations for further Federal Reserve easing. Persistent core CPI and PCE prints above the 2 percent target, combined with resilient labor-market data, have supported higher-for-longer pricing in the bond market and kept mortgage spreads stable. Forecasters from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association project averages between 6.1 percent and 6.3 percent through year-end, implying limited downside unless incoming inflation data or a dovish FOMC shift re-anchors long-term yields lower. Key near-term catalysts include the next CPI release, May FOMC minutes, and any revisions to growth or employment figures that could alter the market-implied rate path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Объем
$49,755Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Current 30-year mortgage rates hover near 6.4 percent in mid-May 2026, closely tracking elevated 10-year Treasury yields amid sticky inflation readings and tempered expectations for further Federal Reserve easing. Persistent core CPI and PCE prints above the 2 percent target, combined with resilient labor-market data, have supported higher-for-longer pricing in the bond market and kept mortgage spreads stable. Forecasters from Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association project averages between 6.1 percent and 6.3 percent through year-end, implying limited downside unless incoming inflation data or a dovish FOMC shift re-anchors long-term yields lower. Key near-term catalysts include the next CPI release, May FOMC minutes, and any revisions to growth or employment figures that could alter the market-implied rate path.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы