Recent record warmth in early August 2026, fueled by a strong El Niño event superimposed on long-term anthropogenic warming, has driven trader consensus toward these dates ranking as the hottest on record. Official NOAA analyses confirm July 2026 tied the prior global July record with a +1.18°C anomaly, while Northern Hemisphere daily temperatures peaked notably on August 1 amid widespread land and ocean heat extremes across Europe, Asia, and North America. Model consensus and observational data from agencies like NOAA and NASA show sustained high sea-surface temperatures and atmospheric conditions favoring further daily records. Revisions in final blended datasets or narrower resolution criteria tied to specific baselines could modestly shift rankings, though current evidence makes such reversals unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว2026 August 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
2026 August 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest 96.2%
2nd hottest 2.9%
3rd hottest 1.6%
4th or lower 1.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
1st hottest
96%
2nd hottest
3%
3rd hottest
2%
4th or lower
1%
1st hottest 96.2%
2nd hottest 2.9%
3rd hottest 1.6%
4th or lower 1.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
1st hottest
$510 ปริมาณ
96%
2nd hottest
$334 ปริมาณ
3%
3rd hottest
$152 ปริมาณ
2%
4th or lower
$151 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 versus the data points available for all other Augusts on record.
Note: If August 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by September 30, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Recent record warmth in early August 2026, fueled by a strong El Niño event superimposed on long-term anthropogenic warming, has driven trader consensus toward these dates ranking as the hottest on record. Official NOAA analyses confirm July 2026 tied the prior global July record with a +1.18°C anomaly, while Northern Hemisphere daily temperatures peaked notably on August 1 amid widespread land and ocean heat extremes across Europe, Asia, and North America. Model consensus and observational data from agencies like NOAA and NASA show sustained high sea-surface temperatures and atmospheric conditions favoring further daily records. Revisions in final blended datasets or narrower resolution criteria tied to specific baselines could modestly shift rankings, though current evidence makes such reversals unlikely.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 versus the data points available for all other Augusts on record.
Note: If August 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by September 30, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If August 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by September 30, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 28, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,147วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 28, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 versus the data points available for all other Augusts on record.
Note: If August 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by September 30, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Recent record warmth in early August 2026, fueled by a strong El Niño event superimposed on long-term anthropogenic warming, has driven trader consensus toward these dates ranking as the hottest on record. Official NOAA analyses confirm July 2026 tied the prior global July record with a +1.18°C anomaly, while Northern Hemisphere daily temperatures peaked notably on August 1 amid widespread land and ocean heat extremes across Europe, Asia, and North America. Model consensus and observational data from agencies like NOAA and NASA show sustained high sea-surface temperatures and atmospheric conditions favoring further daily records. Revisions in final blended datasets or narrower resolution criteria tied to specific baselines could modestly shift rankings, though current evidence makes such reversals unlikely.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 versus the data points available for all other Augusts on record.
Note: If August 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by September 30, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If August 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by September 30, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,147วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 28, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent record warmth in early August 2026, fueled by a strong El Niño event superimposed on long-term anthropogenic warming, has driven trader consensus toward these dates ranking as the hottest on record. Official NOAA analyses confirm July 2026 tied the prior global July record with a +1.18°C anomaly, while Northern Hemisphere daily temperatures peaked notably on August 1 amid widespread land and ocean heat extremes across Europe, Asia, and North America. Model consensus and observational data from agencies like NOAA and NASA show sustained high sea-surface temperatures and atmospheric conditions favoring further daily records. Revisions in final blended datasets or narrower resolution criteria tied to specific baselines could modestly shift rankings, though current evidence makes such reversals unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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