Recent floor crossings have reshaped Canada's parliamentary arithmetic under Prime Minister Mark Carney. Since November 2025, five opposition MPs—four Conservatives and one New Democrat—have switched to the Liberals, contributing to a majority government after April 2026 byelections. The most recent defection occurred on April 8 when Marilyn Gladu joined from the Conservative caucus, citing economic priorities and constituent input. Public opinion remains divided, with polls showing split views on the practice, while opposition leaders criticize it as undermining electoral mandates. With the Liberal majority now secured, further crossings hinge on individual MP alignments or internal party tensions ahead of the next general election cycle.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
Jun 30, 2026
May 31
16%
$1,868 ปริมาณ
May 31
$255 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent floor crossings have reshaped Canada's parliamentary arithmetic under Prime Minister Mark Carney. Since November 2025, five opposition MPs—four Conservatives and one New Democrat—have switched to the Liberals, contributing to a majority government after April 2026 byelections. The most recent defection occurred on April 8 when Marilyn Gladu joined from the Conservative caucus, citing economic priorities and constituent input. Public opinion remains divided, with polls showing split views on the practice, while opposition leaders criticize it as undermining electoral mandates. With the Liberal majority now secured, further crossings hinge on individual MP alignments or internal party tensions ahead of the next general election cycle.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,868วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent floor crossings have reshaped Canada's parliamentary arithmetic under Prime Minister Mark Carney. Since November 2025, five opposition MPs—four Conservatives and one New Democrat—have switched to the Liberals, contributing to a majority government after April 2026 byelections. The most recent defection occurred on April 8 when Marilyn Gladu joined from the Conservative caucus, citing economic priorities and constituent input. Public opinion remains divided, with polls showing split views on the practice, while opposition leaders criticize it as undermining electoral mandates. With the Liberal majority now secured, further crossings hinge on individual MP alignments or internal party tensions ahead of the next general election cycle.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,868วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent floor crossings have reshaped Canada's parliamentary arithmetic under Prime Minister Mark Carney. Since November 2025, five opposition MPs—four Conservatives and one New Democrat—have switched to the Liberals, contributing to a majority government after April 2026 byelections. The most recent defection occurred on April 8 when Marilyn Gladu joined from the Conservative caucus, citing economic priorities and constituent input. Public opinion remains divided, with polls showing split views on the practice, while opposition leaders criticize it as undermining electoral mandates. With the Liberal majority now secured, further crossings hinge on individual MP alignments or internal party tensions ahead of the next general election cycle.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย