California's 6th congressional district carries a safe Democratic partisan lean following redistricting, with Democratic voter registration at 39% compared to 31% Republican and 22% no party preference. Incumbent Kevin Kiley, who switched from Republican to no party preference and continues caucusing with House Republicans, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Democratic nominee Richard Pan, a former state senator and physician. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district's Sacramento-area demographics and suburban voting patterns. Trader consensus at 94% for a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, while scenarios such as unusually high Republican turnout or late shifts in voter sentiment could narrow the margin but face significant barriers in this environment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-06 House Election Winner
CA-06 House Election Winner
$42,116 ปริมาณ
$42,116 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$42,116 ปริมาณ
$42,116 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$18,223 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$23,893 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district carries a safe Democratic partisan lean following redistricting, with Democratic voter registration at 39% compared to 31% Republican and 22% no party preference. Incumbent Kevin Kiley, who switched from Republican to no party preference and continues caucusing with House Republicans, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Democratic nominee Richard Pan, a former state senator and physician. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district's Sacramento-area demographics and suburban voting patterns. Trader consensus at 94% for a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, while scenarios such as unusually high Republican turnout or late shifts in voter sentiment could narrow the margin but face significant barriers in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,116วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district carries a safe Democratic partisan lean following redistricting, with Democratic voter registration at 39% compared to 31% Republican and 22% no party preference. Incumbent Kevin Kiley, who switched from Republican to no party preference and continues caucusing with House Republicans, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Democratic nominee Richard Pan, a former state senator and physician. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district's Sacramento-area demographics and suburban voting patterns. Trader consensus at 94% for a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, while scenarios such as unusually high Republican turnout or late shifts in voter sentiment could narrow the margin but face significant barriers in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,116วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 6th congressional district carries a safe Democratic partisan lean following redistricting, with Democratic voter registration at 39% compared to 31% Republican and 22% no party preference. Incumbent Kevin Kiley, who switched from Republican to no party preference and continues caucusing with House Republicans, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Democratic nominee Richard Pan, a former state senator and physician. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district's Sacramento-area demographics and suburban voting patterns. Trader consensus at 94% for a Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors, while scenarios such as unusually high Republican turnout or late shifts in voter sentiment could narrow the margin but face significant barriers in this environment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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