Canada’s federal government has implemented the 2026–2028 Immigration Levels Plan, capping permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually while sharply reducing new temporary resident targets to 385,000 for 2026. Official Statistics Canada data confirm the population fell 0.1 percent in the first quarter of 2026—the third consecutive quarterly decline—driven by net outflows of non-permanent residents exceeding inflows from permanent immigration and natural increase. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicate flat or negative annual growth for 2026 as the temporary resident share of the population is deliberately reduced toward the 5 percent target by 2027. These sustained policy measures and verified quarterly population estimates underpin trader consensus favoring a year-over-year decline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUp
6% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Apr 30, 2027
Up
6% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Apr 30, 2027
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada’s federal government has implemented the 2026–2028 Immigration Levels Plan, capping permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually while sharply reducing new temporary resident targets to 385,000 for 2026. Official Statistics Canada data confirm the population fell 0.1 percent in the first quarter of 2026—the third consecutive quarterly decline—driven by net outflows of non-permanent residents exceeding inflows from permanent immigration and natural increase. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicate flat or negative annual growth for 2026 as the temporary resident share of the population is deliberately reduced toward the 5 percent target by 2027. These sustained policy measures and verified quarterly population estimates underpin trader consensus favoring a year-over-year decline.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,167วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada’s federal government has implemented the 2026–2028 Immigration Levels Plan, capping permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually while sharply reducing new temporary resident targets to 385,000 for 2026. Official Statistics Canada data confirm the population fell 0.1 percent in the first quarter of 2026—the third consecutive quarterly decline—driven by net outflows of non-permanent residents exceeding inflows from permanent immigration and natural increase. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicate flat or negative annual growth for 2026 as the temporary resident share of the population is deliberately reduced toward the 5 percent target by 2027. These sustained policy measures and verified quarterly population estimates underpin trader consensus favoring a year-over-year decline.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,167วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada’s federal government has implemented the 2026–2028 Immigration Levels Plan, capping permanent resident admissions at 380,000 annually while sharply reducing new temporary resident targets to 385,000 for 2026. Official Statistics Canada data confirm the population fell 0.1 percent in the first quarter of 2026—the third consecutive quarterly decline—driven by net outflows of non-permanent residents exceeding inflows from permanent immigration and natural increase. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicate flat or negative annual growth for 2026 as the temporary resident share of the population is deliberately reduced toward the 5 percent target by 2027. These sustained policy measures and verified quarterly population estimates underpin trader consensus favoring a year-over-year decline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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