President Trump signed proclamations on July 20, 2026, under Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930, imposing additional 50% duties on roughly $20 billion of specified Canadian imports—including wine, cement, hockey equipment, dairy, and motor vehicle-related goods—in response to Canadian measures affecting U.S. exports in those sectors. The tariffs lack USMCA exemptions and are scheduled to take effect August 19, four days from the current date. Ongoing bilateral trade frictions, including prior IEEPA and Section 232 actions, forced-labor investigations, and Canadian retaliatory planning, continue to shape trader assessments of whether negotiations will produce delays, carve-outs, or modifications before implementation. Canada has signaled intensified talks in the coming weeks, while scheduled diplomatic and legislative calendars through late 2026 offer potential resolution triggers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTariff increase on Canada in effect by...?
$45,009 ปริมาณ

December 31, 2026
40%
$45,009 ปริมาณ

December 31, 2026
40%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if an increase in the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date of the tariffs (as set by legislation or executive action) must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but not yet gone into effect will not be considered.
Only tariffs specifically targeting Canada will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 50% tariff on top of that on Canadian imports would equal a 60% tariff). Item specific exceptions will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate). For the purpose of this market, an increase in the general tariff rate is defined as a rate greater than the rate in effect at the time of this market's creation.
A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff on all imports into the United States from Canada is in effect which is greater than the policy in effect at the time of this market's creation.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 29, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if an increase in the general tariff rate on imports into the United States from Canada goes into effect for any amount of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date of the tariffs (as set by legislation or executive action) must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. Only tariffs which are in effect will qualify. Tariffs which are paused, or which have been announced but not yet gone into effect will not be considered.
Only tariffs specifically targeting Canada will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The general tariff rate refers to the base tariff rate paid on imports, including any general tariff the U.S. imposes on all imports (e.g. a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports and a 50% tariff on top of that on Canadian imports would equal a 60% tariff). Item specific exceptions will not be considered (i.e. this market does not refer to the effective tariff rate). For the purpose of this market, an increase in the general tariff rate is defined as a rate greater than the rate in effect at the time of this market's creation.
A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff on all imports into the United States from Canada is in effect which is greater than the policy in effect at the time of this market's creation.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump signed proclamations on July 20, 2026, under Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930, imposing additional 50% duties on roughly $20 billion of specified Canadian imports—including wine, cement, hockey equipment, dairy, and motor vehicle-related goods—in response to Canadian measures affecting U.S. exports in those sectors. The tariffs lack USMCA exemptions and are scheduled to take effect August 19, four days from the current date. Ongoing bilateral trade frictions, including prior IEEPA and Section 232 actions, forced-labor investigations, and Canadian retaliatory planning, continue to shape trader assessments of whether negotiations will produce delays, carve-outs, or modifications before implementation. Canada has signaled intensified talks in the coming weeks, while scheduled diplomatic and legislative calendars through late 2026 offer potential resolution triggers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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