Canada’s August monthly GDP print remains closely contested on Polymarket, with the 0.0-0.1% and 0.2-0.3% buckets each commanding roughly 37% implied probability. Statistics Canada’s September 29 flash estimate pointed to a 0.2% rebound after July’s flat reading, supported by gains in mining and retail trade that partially offset weakness in oil and gas. However, downside risks from softer manufacturing and wholesale shipments, two consecutive months of employment declines, and U.S. tariff effects introduced after August 22 have kept trader sentiment balanced. The October 30 official release, revisions to prior months, and any last-minute data on consumer spending will likely determine whether the final figure settles near the lower or higher end of the narrow expected range.