Alberta Premier Danielle Smith’s government scheduled the October 19, 2026 referendum, which poses a non-binding “referendum on a referendum” question on whether to remain in Canada or begin the constitutional process for a future binding independence vote. Smith has publicly stated she will vote to stay, and the ballot includes parallel questions on immigration and provincial powers within Confederation. Citizen petitions seeking a clearer separation option gathered hundreds of thousands of signatures but faced court challenges over treaty rights and were not adopted in final form. With the vote roughly two months away, trader pricing at 92.5% for “No” reflects the absence of majority public support for outright separation, the premier’s explicit preference for continued Canadian membership, and the limited scope of the question itself.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$252,928 ปริมาณ
$252,928 ปริมาณ
$252,928 ปริมาณ
$252,928 ปริมาณ
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Alberta Premier Danielle Smith’s government scheduled the October 19, 2026 referendum, which poses a non-binding “referendum on a referendum” question on whether to remain in Canada or begin the constitutional process for a future binding independence vote. Smith has publicly stated she will vote to stay, and the ballot includes parallel questions on immigration and provincial powers within Confederation. Citizen petitions seeking a clearer separation option gathered hundreds of thousands of signatures but faced court challenges over treaty rights and were not adopted in final form. With the vote roughly two months away, trader pricing at 92.5% for “No” reflects the absence of majority public support for outright separation, the premier’s explicit preference for continued Canadian membership, and the limited scope of the question itself.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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