Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 96% implied probability of no change at the Bank of Canada's June 10 policy rate decision, reflecting the central bank's April 29 hold at 2.25% amid rising inflation pressures. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.4% year-over-year—up from 1.8% in February—driven by higher gasoline prices from US tariffs, prompting BoC Governor Macklem to deem the current stance "appropriate" with only small adjustments if forecasts hold. Moderate GDP growth and resilient labor markets further support this pause, aligning trader consensus with economist forecasts for steady rates through mid-2026. A sharp April CPI slowdown below 2% or weakening nonfarm payrolls could challenge this positioning ahead of key May data releases.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBank of Canada decision in June?
Bank of Canada decision in June?
No change 96.0%
Increase 2.9%
25 bps decrease 1.3%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$26,425 ปริมาณ
$26,425 ปริมาณ
Jun 10, 2026
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
1%
No change
96%
Increase
3%
No change 96.0%
Increase 2.9%
25 bps decrease 1.3%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$26,425 ปริมาณ
$26,425 ปริมาณ
Jun 10, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$4,584 ปริมาณ
1%
25 bps decrease
$4,363 ปริมาณ
1%
No change
$9,468 ปริมาณ
96%
Increase
$8,011 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 96% implied probability of no change at the Bank of Canada's June 10 policy rate decision, reflecting the central bank's April 29 hold at 2.25% amid rising inflation pressures. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.4% year-over-year—up from 1.8% in February—driven by higher gasoline prices from US tariffs, prompting BoC Governor Macklem to deem the current stance "appropriate" with only small adjustments if forecasts hold. Moderate GDP growth and resilient labor markets further support this pause, aligning trader consensus with economist forecasts for steady rates through mid-2026. A sharp April CPI slowdown below 2% or weakening nonfarm payrolls could challenge this positioning ahead of key May data releases.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,425วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 96% implied probability of no change at the Bank of Canada's June 10 policy rate decision, reflecting the central bank's April 29 hold at 2.25% amid rising inflation pressures. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.4% year-over-year—up from 1.8% in February—driven by higher gasoline prices from US tariffs, prompting BoC Governor Macklem to deem the current stance "appropriate" with only small adjustments if forecasts hold. Moderate GDP growth and resilient labor markets further support this pause, aligning trader consensus with economist forecasts for steady rates through mid-2026. A sharp April CPI slowdown below 2% or weakening nonfarm payrolls could challenge this positioning ahead of key May data releases.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's June 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its June 10, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,425วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 96% implied probability of no change at the Bank of Canada's June 10 policy rate decision, reflecting the central bank's April 29 hold at 2.25% amid rising inflation pressures. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.4% year-over-year—up from 1.8% in February—driven by higher gasoline prices from US tariffs, prompting BoC Governor Macklem to deem the current stance "appropriate" with only small adjustments if forecasts hold. Moderate GDP growth and resilient labor markets further support this pause, aligning trader consensus with economist forecasts for steady rates through mid-2026. A sharp April CPI slowdown below 2% or weakening nonfarm payrolls could challenge this positioning ahead of key May data releases.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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