Vladimir Putin's entrenched position as President of Russia under the country's centralized constitutional framework supports the current trader consensus reflected in the 98.5% implied probability for the "No" outcome by June 30. Institutional controls, including loyalty within security structures and the absence of scheduled elections or parliamentary challenges in the immediate window, reinforce expectations of leadership continuity. This assessment draws on established patterns of executive stability in similar systems. Low-probability developments such as sudden health events, internal elite realignments, or external diplomatic pressures could still alter the trajectory, though no verified catalysts of this nature have emerged to date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใช่
$2,300,136 ปริมาณ
$2,300,136 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
ใช่
$2,300,136 ปริมาณ
$2,300,136 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vladimir Putin's entrenched position as President of Russia under the country's centralized constitutional framework supports the current trader consensus reflected in the 98.5% implied probability for the "No" outcome by June 30. Institutional controls, including loyalty within security structures and the absence of scheduled elections or parliamentary challenges in the immediate window, reinforce expectations of leadership continuity. This assessment draws on established patterns of executive stability in similar systems. Low-probability developments such as sudden health events, internal elite realignments, or external diplomatic pressures could still alter the trajectory, though no verified catalysts of this nature have emerged to date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 17, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,300,136วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 17, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vladimir Putin's entrenched position as President of Russia under the country's centralized constitutional framework supports the current trader consensus reflected in the 98.5% implied probability for the "No" outcome by June 30. Institutional controls, including loyalty within security structures and the absence of scheduled elections or parliamentary challenges in the immediate window, reinforce expectations of leadership continuity. This assessment draws on established patterns of executive stability in similar systems. Low-probability developments such as sudden health events, internal elite realignments, or external diplomatic pressures could still alter the trajectory, though no verified catalysts of this nature have emerged to date.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,300,136วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 17, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vladimir Putin's entrenched position as President of Russia under the country's centralized constitutional framework supports the current trader consensus reflected in the 98.5% implied probability for the "No" outcome by June 30. Institutional controls, including loyalty within security structures and the absence of scheduled elections or parliamentary challenges in the immediate window, reinforce expectations of leadership continuity. This assessment draws on established patterns of executive stability in similar systems. Low-probability developments such as sudden health events, internal elite realignments, or external diplomatic pressures could still alter the trajectory, though no verified catalysts of this nature have emerged to date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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