Recent statements from Russian President Vladimir Putin have shaped trader expectations around potential Russia-Ukraine leader-level diplomacy, with the Kremlin indicating on May 9 that the conflict is nearing an end and expressing conditional openness to a meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in a third country—but only after a finalized peace accord. This follows the expiration of a U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire on May 11 amid mutual violation claims, alongside stalled trilateral talks that last convened in Geneva in February. Key sticking points remain Ukraine’s territorial integrity demands and security guarantees, with both sides continuing indirect contacts on prisoner exchanges and humanitarian issues. Traders monitor announcements of scheduled summits or mediator initiatives for signals that could shift probabilities before any resolution deadline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$149,243 ปริมาณ
May 31
3%
June 30
27%
December 31
73%
$149,243 ปริมาณ
May 31
3%
June 30
27%
December 31
73%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent statements from Russian President Vladimir Putin have shaped trader expectations around potential Russia-Ukraine leader-level diplomacy, with the Kremlin indicating on May 9 that the conflict is nearing an end and expressing conditional openness to a meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in a third country—but only after a finalized peace accord. This follows the expiration of a U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire on May 11 amid mutual violation claims, alongside stalled trilateral talks that last convened in Geneva in February. Key sticking points remain Ukraine’s territorial integrity demands and security guarantees, with both sides continuing indirect contacts on prisoner exchanges and humanitarian issues. Traders monitor announcements of scheduled summits or mediator initiatives for signals that could shift probabilities before any resolution deadline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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