Recent local polling from Survation in early August shows Nigel Farage leading with around 73% while Count Binface registers near 20% in the Clacton by-election, triggered by Farage’s July resignation amid parliamentary scrutiny. With Labour, Conservatives, and other major parties boycotting the contest, Binface emerges as the clearest alternative on the 34-candidate ballot, drawing elevated media coverage and protest or novelty votes that exceed his typical sub-1% historical results. National surveys reveal broader public curiosity toward the satirical candidate, yet constituency-level data and the first-past-the-post system anchor expectations in the 10–30% range, aligning with trader pricing on the 10–20% and 20–30% bands. The by-election occurs on 13 August.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBinface 10–20% 49%
Binface 20–30% 37%
Binface <10% 10%
Binface 30–40% 5.1%
$406,263 ปริมาณ
$406,263 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2027
Binface <10%
10%
Binface 10–20%
49%
Binface 20–30%
37%
Binface 30–40%
5%
Binface 40%+
1%
Binface 10–20% 49%
Binface 20–30% 37%
Binface <10% 10%
Binface 30–40% 5.1%
$406,263 ปริมาณ
$406,263 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2027
Binface <10%
$168,673 ปริมาณ
10%
Binface 10–20%
$57,779 ปริมาณ
49%
Binface 20–30%
$74,596 ปริมาณ
37%
Binface 30–40%
$63,967 ปริมาณ
5%
Binface 40%+
$41,249 ปริมาณ
1%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).Recent local polling from Survation in early August shows Nigel Farage leading with around 73% while Count Binface registers near 20% in the Clacton by-election, triggered by Farage’s July resignation amid parliamentary scrutiny. With Labour, Conservatives, and other major parties boycotting the contest, Binface emerges as the clearest alternative on the 34-candidate ballot, drawing elevated media coverage and protest or novelty votes that exceed his typical sub-1% historical results. National surveys reveal broader public curiosity toward the satirical candidate, yet constituency-level data and the first-past-the-post system anchor expectations in the 10–30% range, aligning with trader pricing on the 10–20% and 20–30% bands. The by-election occurs on 13 August.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 8, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$406,263วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 8, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).Recent local polling from Survation in early August shows Nigel Farage leading with around 73% while Count Binface registers near 20% in the Clacton by-election, triggered by Farage’s July resignation amid parliamentary scrutiny. With Labour, Conservatives, and other major parties boycotting the contest, Binface emerges as the clearest alternative on the 34-candidate ballot, drawing elevated media coverage and protest or novelty votes that exceed his typical sub-1% historical results. National surveys reveal broader public curiosity toward the satirical candidate, yet constituency-level data and the first-past-the-post system anchor expectations in the 10–30% range, aligning with trader pricing on the 10–20% and 20–30% bands. The by-election occurs on 13 August.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$406,263วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 8, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent local polling from Survation in early August shows Nigel Farage leading with around 73% while Count Binface registers near 20% in the Clacton by-election, triggered by Farage’s July resignation amid parliamentary scrutiny. With Labour, Conservatives, and other major parties boycotting the contest, Binface emerges as the clearest alternative on the 34-candidate ballot, drawing elevated media coverage and protest or novelty votes that exceed his typical sub-1% historical results. National surveys reveal broader public curiosity toward the satirical candidate, yet constituency-level data and the first-past-the-post system anchor expectations in the 10–30% range, aligning with trader pricing on the 10–20% and 20–30% bands. The by-election occurs on 13 August.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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