A recent Survation constituency poll showing Count Binface at 20% against Nigel Farage's 73% has anchored trader expectations for the 13 August 2026 Clacton by-election, where major parties are boycotting the contest and elevating the satirical candidate as the primary challenger. Binface's national media profile and novelty appeal have sustained visibility, with some UK-wide surveys indicating broader sympathy, yet local results and historical precedents for fringe candidates continue to cap projections. These factors position the 10–20% and 20–30% bands as the consensus outcomes, reflecting the gap between polling signals and the typical low-single-digit performance of novelty campaigns in similar by-elections.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBinface 10–20% 49%
Binface 20–30% 37%
Binface <10% 9%
Binface 30–40% 5.1%
$406,489 ปริมาณ
$406,489 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2027
Binface <10%
9%
Binface 10–20%
49%
Binface 20–30%
37%
Binface 30–40%
5%
Binface 40%+
1%
Binface 10–20% 49%
Binface 20–30% 37%
Binface <10% 9%
Binface 30–40% 5.1%
$406,489 ปริมาณ
$406,489 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2027
Binface <10%
$168,673 ปริมาณ
9%
Binface 10–20%
$57,789 ปริมาณ
49%
Binface 20–30%
$74,635 ปริมาณ
37%
Binface 30–40%
$64,039 ปริมาณ
5%
Binface 40%+
$41,353 ปริมาณ
1%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).A recent Survation constituency poll showing Count Binface at 20% against Nigel Farage's 73% has anchored trader expectations for the 13 August 2026 Clacton by-election, where major parties are boycotting the contest and elevating the satirical candidate as the primary challenger. Binface's national media profile and novelty appeal have sustained visibility, with some UK-wide surveys indicating broader sympathy, yet local results and historical precedents for fringe candidates continue to cap projections. These factors position the 10–20% and 20–30% bands as the consensus outcomes, reflecting the gap between polling signals and the typical low-single-digit performance of novelty campaigns in similar by-elections.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 8, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$406,489วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 8, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).A recent Survation constituency poll showing Count Binface at 20% against Nigel Farage's 73% has anchored trader expectations for the 13 August 2026 Clacton by-election, where major parties are boycotting the contest and elevating the satirical candidate as the primary challenger. Binface's national media profile and novelty appeal have sustained visibility, with some UK-wide surveys indicating broader sympathy, yet local results and historical precedents for fringe candidates continue to cap projections. These factors position the 10–20% and 20–30% bands as the consensus outcomes, reflecting the gap between polling signals and the typical low-single-digit performance of novelty campaigns in similar by-elections.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$406,489วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 8, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A recent Survation constituency poll showing Count Binface at 20% against Nigel Farage's 73% has anchored trader expectations for the 13 August 2026 Clacton by-election, where major parties are boycotting the contest and elevating the satirical candidate as the primary challenger. Binface's national media profile and novelty appeal have sustained visibility, with some UK-wide surveys indicating broader sympathy, yet local results and historical precedents for fringe candidates continue to cap projections. These factors position the 10–20% and 20–30% bands as the consensus outcomes, reflecting the gap between polling signals and the typical low-single-digit performance of novelty campaigns in similar by-elections.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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