Reform UK leader Nigel Farage secured a commanding position in the Clacton by-election after resigning his seat to trigger the contest and recontest it amid an ongoing parliamentary investigation. With major parties boycotting the race and labeling it a political stunt, the field featured dozens of fringe and novelty candidates, including Count Binface as the primary opponent, leaving Farage to consolidate support among his core voters. Low turnout around 44 percent and the absence of organized opposition from Conservatives or Labour further reinforced his share of the vote. Traders priced the 60–70 percent band as the clear consensus outcome based on these structural factors, though late shifts in voter mobilization or unexpected turnout among protest candidates could have narrowed the margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFarage 60–70% 100.0%
Farage <40% <1%
Farage 40–50% <1%
Farage 50–60% <1%
$1,597,510 ปริมาณ
$1,597,510 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2027
Farage <40%
No
Farage 40–50%
No
Farage 50–60%
No
Farage 60–70%
Yes
Farage 70–80%
No
Farage 80%+
No
Farage 60–70% 100.0%
Farage <40% <1%
Farage 40–50% <1%
Farage 50–60% <1%
$1,597,510 ปริมาณ
$1,597,510 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2027
Farage <40%
$30,456 ปริมาณ
No
Farage 40–50%
$43,358 ปริมาณ
No
Farage 50–60%
$116,682 ปริมาณ
No
Farage 60–70%
$593,047 ปริมาณ
Yes
Farage 70–80%
$212,898 ปริมาณ
No
Farage 80%+
$601,068 ปริมาณ
No
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).Reform UK leader Nigel Farage secured a commanding position in the Clacton by-election after resigning his seat to trigger the contest and recontest it amid an ongoing parliamentary investigation. With major parties boycotting the race and labeling it a political stunt, the field featured dozens of fringe and novelty candidates, including Count Binface as the primary opponent, leaving Farage to consolidate support among his core voters. Low turnout around 44 percent and the absence of organized opposition from Conservatives or Labour further reinforced his share of the vote. Traders priced the 60–70 percent band as the clear consensus outcome based on these structural factors, though late shifts in voter mobilization or unexpected turnout among protest candidates could have narrowed the margin.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 8, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,597,510วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 8, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).Reform UK leader Nigel Farage secured a commanding position in the Clacton by-election after resigning his seat to trigger the contest and recontest it amid an ongoing parliamentary investigation. With major parties boycotting the race and labeling it a political stunt, the field featured dozens of fringe and novelty candidates, including Count Binface as the primary opponent, leaving Farage to consolidate support among his core voters. Low turnout around 44 percent and the absence of organized opposition from Conservatives or Labour further reinforced his share of the vote. Traders priced the 60–70 percent band as the clear consensus outcome based on these structural factors, though late shifts in voter mobilization or unexpected turnout among protest candidates could have narrowed the margin.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,597,510วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 8, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Reform UK leader Nigel Farage secured a commanding position in the Clacton by-election after resigning his seat to trigger the contest and recontest it amid an ongoing parliamentary investigation. With major parties boycotting the race and labeling it a political stunt, the field featured dozens of fringe and novelty candidates, including Count Binface as the primary opponent, leaving Farage to consolidate support among his core voters. Low turnout around 44 percent and the absence of organized opposition from Conservatives or Labour further reinforced his share of the vote. Traders priced the 60–70 percent band as the clear consensus outcome based on these structural factors, though late shifts in voter mobilization or unexpected turnout among protest candidates could have narrowed the margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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