**Elon Musk's recent posting cadence on X, averaging roughly 23–26 times daily amid steady but not explosive engagement with SpaceX, Tesla, and Grok updates, positions the 160–179 range as the clear market favorite at 58.5% implied probability.** Traders have priced in this band based on verified activity patterns through mid-August 2026, with the 180–199 bracket (25.5%) reflecting upside risk from any late-week bursts tied to launch coverage or AI announcements. Precursor weekly totals and real-time trackers show no major catalyst—like a high-profile product reveal or political development—pushing volume into higher brackets, while lower ranges remain long shots given his baseline output. With the Aug 11–18 window nearly complete, momentum favors consolidation around the frontrunner unless unexpected news spikes replies and quotes in the final hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว160-179 57%
180-199 27%
140-159 11.3%
200-219 3.3%
$1,844,224 ปริมาณ
$1,844,224 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
140-159
11%
160-179
57%
180-199
27%
200-219
3%
220-239
1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 57%
180-199 27%
140-159 11.3%
200-219 3.3%
$1,844,224 ปริมาณ
$1,844,224 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
140-159
$272,161 ปริมาณ
11%
160-179
$157,145 ปริมาณ
57%
180-199
$121,764 ปริมาณ
27%
200-219
$115,187 ปริมาณ
3%
220-239
$96,196 ปริมาณ
1%
240-259
$127,676 ปริมาณ
<1%
260-279
$107,908 ปริมาณ
<1%
280-299
$91,008 ปริมาณ
<1%
300-319
$83,049 ปริมาณ
<1%
320-339
$43,368 ปริมาณ
<1%
340-359
$42,323 ปริมาณ
<1%
360-379
$29,969 ปริมาณ
<1%
380-399
$25,087 ปริมาณ
<1%
400-419
$22,118 ปริมาณ
<1%
420-439
$15,300 ปริมาณ
<1%
440-459
$15,044 ปริมาณ
<1%
460-479
$6,196 ปริมาณ
<1%
480-499
$5,696 ปริมาณ
<1%
500+
$43,869 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Elon Musk's recent posting cadence on X, averaging roughly 23–26 times daily amid steady but not explosive engagement with SpaceX, Tesla, and Grok updates, positions the 160–179 range as the clear market favorite at 58.5% implied probability.** Traders have priced in this band based on verified activity patterns through mid-August 2026, with the 180–199 bracket (25.5%) reflecting upside risk from any late-week bursts tied to launch coverage or AI announcements. Precursor weekly totals and real-time trackers show no major catalyst—like a high-profile product reveal or political development—pushing volume into higher brackets, while lower ranges remain long shots given his baseline output. With the Aug 11–18 window nearly complete, momentum favors consolidation around the frontrunner unless unexpected news spikes replies and quotes in the final hours.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,844,224วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Elon Musk's recent posting cadence on X, averaging roughly 23–26 times daily amid steady but not explosive engagement with SpaceX, Tesla, and Grok updates, positions the 160–179 range as the clear market favorite at 58.5% implied probability.** Traders have priced in this band based on verified activity patterns through mid-August 2026, with the 180–199 bracket (25.5%) reflecting upside risk from any late-week bursts tied to launch coverage or AI announcements. Precursor weekly totals and real-time trackers show no major catalyst—like a high-profile product reveal or political development—pushing volume into higher brackets, while lower ranges remain long shots given his baseline output. With the Aug 11–18 window nearly complete, momentum favors consolidation around the frontrunner unless unexpected news spikes replies and quotes in the final hours.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,844,224วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Elon Musk's recent posting cadence on X, averaging roughly 23–26 times daily amid steady but not explosive engagement with SpaceX, Tesla, and Grok updates, positions the 160–179 range as the clear market favorite at 58.5% implied probability.** Traders have priced in this band based on verified activity patterns through mid-August 2026, with the 180–199 bracket (25.5%) reflecting upside risk from any late-week bursts tied to launch coverage or AI announcements. Precursor weekly totals and real-time trackers show no major catalyst—like a high-profile product reveal or political development—pushing volume into higher brackets, while lower ranges remain long shots given his baseline output. With the Aug 11–18 window nearly complete, momentum favors consolidation around the frontrunner unless unexpected news spikes replies and quotes in the final hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย