Traders see the narrow spread between the 140-159 and 160-179 ranges as the most probable outcomes for Elon Musk’s X activity from June 12-19 because his recent weekly totals have clustered tightly around 180-220 posts absent major company milestones. Baseline posting rates of roughly 20-30 times daily, driven by routine commentary on SpaceX, Tesla, and xAI developments, anchor expectations near the middle of the distribution. The tight contest reflects uncertainty over whether any scheduled events—such as potential Starship updates or product announcements—will push volume higher or keep it contained within the current band. A single high-engagement launch or policy-related thread could shift liquidity toward the upper ranges, while a quieter stretch would reinforce the lower cluster.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วElon Musk # tweets June 12 - June 19, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets June 12 - June 19, 2026?
140-159 19.8%
160-179 18%
120-139 16.6%
180-199 14%
$2,089,367 ปริมาณ
$2,089,367 ปริมาณ
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
1%
80-99
3%
100-119
9%
120-139
17%
140-159
20%
160-179
18%
180-199
14%
200-219
9%
220-239
5%
240-259
2%
260-279
2%
280-299
1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
140-159 19.8%
160-179 18%
120-139 16.6%
180-199 14%
$2,089,367 ปริมาณ
$2,089,367 ปริมาณ
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
1%
80-99
3%
100-119
9%
120-139
17%
140-159
20%
160-179
18%
180-199
14%
200-219
9%
220-239
5%
240-259
2%
260-279
2%
280-299
1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 9, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the narrow spread between the 140-159 and 160-179 ranges as the most probable outcomes for Elon Musk’s X activity from June 12-19 because his recent weekly totals have clustered tightly around 180-220 posts absent major company milestones. Baseline posting rates of roughly 20-30 times daily, driven by routine commentary on SpaceX, Tesla, and xAI developments, anchor expectations near the middle of the distribution. The tight contest reflects uncertainty over whether any scheduled events—such as potential Starship updates or product announcements—will push volume higher or keep it contained within the current band. A single high-engagement launch or policy-related thread could shift liquidity toward the upper ranges, while a quieter stretch would reinforce the lower cluster.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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