Elon Musk’s posting pace over the September 7-9 window settled comfortably inside the 40-64 bracket, reflecting a moderate daily rhythm that traders had priced at near-certainty. Recent short-period trackers show similar three-day totals when no major Tesla, SpaceX, or political catalyst spikes engagement, with activity clustering around 13-20 posts per day absent controversy. Market-implied odds reached 100% on the frontrunner because verified counts matched historical patterns for quieter stretches, reinforced by the “wisdom of crowds” in these recurring contracts. An upset into higher brackets would require a sudden news cycle or viral exchange to accelerate replies and original posts, though the brief timeframe limits the window for such momentum shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$557,213 ปริมาณ
$557,213 ปริมาณ
Sep 9, 2026
<40
No
40-64
Yes
65-89
No
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
40-64 100.0%
<40 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$557,213 ปริมาณ
$557,213 ปริมาณ
Sep 9, 2026
<40
$91,964 ปริมาณ
No
40-64
$158,193 ปริมาณ
Yes
65-89
$144,529 ปริมาณ
No
90-114
$83,251 ปริมาณ
No
115-139
$46,352 ปริมาณ
No
140-164
$22,946 ปริมาณ
No
165-189
$3,787 ปริมาณ
No
190-214
$3,427 ปริมาณ
No
215-239
$1,476 ปริมาณ
No
240+
$1,289 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 7 12:00 PM ET to September 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace over the September 7-9 window settled comfortably inside the 40-64 bracket, reflecting a moderate daily rhythm that traders had priced at near-certainty. Recent short-period trackers show similar three-day totals when no major Tesla, SpaceX, or political catalyst spikes engagement, with activity clustering around 13-20 posts per day absent controversy. Market-implied odds reached 100% on the frontrunner because verified counts matched historical patterns for quieter stretches, reinforced by the “wisdom of crowds” in these recurring contracts. An upset into higher brackets would require a sudden news cycle or viral exchange to accelerate replies and original posts, though the brief timeframe limits the window for such momentum shifts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 7 12:00 PM ET to September 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 5, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$557,213วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 5, 2026, 12:07 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 7 12:00 PM ET to September 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace over the September 7-9 window settled comfortably inside the 40-64 bracket, reflecting a moderate daily rhythm that traders had priced at near-certainty. Recent short-period trackers show similar three-day totals when no major Tesla, SpaceX, or political catalyst spikes engagement, with activity clustering around 13-20 posts per day absent controversy. Market-implied odds reached 100% on the frontrunner because verified counts matched historical patterns for quieter stretches, reinforced by the “wisdom of crowds” in these recurring contracts. An upset into higher brackets would require a sudden news cycle or viral exchange to accelerate replies and original posts, though the brief timeframe limits the window for such momentum shifts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 7 12:00 PM ET to September 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$557,213วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 5, 2026, 12:07 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Elon Musk’s posting pace over the September 7-9 window settled comfortably inside the 40-64 bracket, reflecting a moderate daily rhythm that traders had priced at near-certainty. Recent short-period trackers show similar three-day totals when no major Tesla, SpaceX, or political catalyst spikes engagement, with activity clustering around 13-20 posts per day absent controversy. Market-implied odds reached 100% on the frontrunner because verified counts matched historical patterns for quieter stretches, reinforced by the “wisdom of crowds” in these recurring contracts. An upset into higher brackets would require a sudden news cycle or viral exchange to accelerate replies and original posts, though the brief timeframe limits the window for such momentum shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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