Traders have priced the 200-219 and 220-239 brackets nearly even because Elon Musk’s baseline X activity has stabilized in the low-to-mid 200s over recent weeks, averaging roughly 25-30 posts daily when combining originals, quotes, and reposts. The September 21 Grok 4.7 rollout provided a clear mid-period catalyst, sparking clusters of AI-related replies and commentary that lifted volume without driving outlier totals. Precedent from the prior week’s 186-tweet count reinforces expectations of steady but not explosive output absent major breaking developments. With the window closing September 25, any late-week Starship test updates or high-engagement Tesla commentary could nudge totals into the upper 200s, while quieter days would favor the 180-199 range. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow band of plausible outcomes rather than a single dominant narrative.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว200-219 24%
220-239 24%
180-199 17%
240-259 15.3%
$745,377 ปริมาณ
$745,377 ปริมาณ
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
4%
180-199
17%
200-219
24%
220-239
24%
240-259
15%
260-279
8%
280-299
4%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 24%
220-239 24%
180-199 17%
240-259 15.3%
$745,377 ปริมาณ
$745,377 ปริมาณ
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
4%
180-199
17%
200-219
24%
220-239
24%
240-259
15%
260-279
8%
280-299
4%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Traders have priced the 200-219 and 220-239 brackets nearly even because Elon Musk’s baseline X activity has stabilized in the low-to-mid 200s over recent weeks, averaging roughly 25-30 posts daily when combining originals, quotes, and reposts. The September 21 Grok 4.7 rollout provided a clear mid-period catalyst, sparking clusters of AI-related replies and commentary that lifted volume without driving outlier totals. Precedent from the prior week’s 186-tweet count reinforces expectations of steady but not explosive output absent major breaking developments. With the window closing September 25, any late-week Starship test updates or high-engagement Tesla commentary could nudge totals into the upper 200s, while quieter days would favor the 180-199 range. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow band of plausible outcomes rather than a single dominant narrative.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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