Ongoing investigations by the Department of Justice, Los Angeles County authorities, and the Manhattan district attorney into multiple sexual assault and misconduct allegations against former Representative Eric Swalwell have prompted his April resignation from Congress. These probes center on claims spanning several years, yet standard prosecutorial processes for review, evidence gathering, and charging decisions typically unfold over months rather than the remaining weeks before May 31. Trader consensus at 96.9% No reflects this structural timeline gap. A rapid arrest would require an unusually expedited filing by one of the involved offices or an unforeseen development accelerating the cases, both of which remain low-probability outcomes based on historical patterns in similar high-profile matters.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$13,325 ปริมาณ
$13,325 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
$13,325 ปริมาณ
$13,325 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing investigations by the Department of Justice, Los Angeles County authorities, and the Manhattan district attorney into multiple sexual assault and misconduct allegations against former Representative Eric Swalwell have prompted his April resignation from Congress. These probes center on claims spanning several years, yet standard prosecutorial processes for review, evidence gathering, and charging decisions typically unfold over months rather than the remaining weeks before May 31. Trader consensus at 96.9% No reflects this structural timeline gap. A rapid arrest would require an unusually expedited filing by one of the involved offices or an unforeseen development accelerating the cases, both of which remain low-probability outcomes based on historical patterns in similar high-profile matters.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,325วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing investigations by the Department of Justice, Los Angeles County authorities, and the Manhattan district attorney into multiple sexual assault and misconduct allegations against former Representative Eric Swalwell have prompted his April resignation from Congress. These probes center on claims spanning several years, yet standard prosecutorial processes for review, evidence gathering, and charging decisions typically unfold over months rather than the remaining weeks before May 31. Trader consensus at 96.9% No reflects this structural timeline gap. A rapid arrest would require an unusually expedited filing by one of the involved offices or an unforeseen development accelerating the cases, both of which remain low-probability outcomes based on historical patterns in similar high-profile matters.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,325วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing investigations by the Department of Justice, Los Angeles County authorities, and the Manhattan district attorney into multiple sexual assault and misconduct allegations against former Representative Eric Swalwell have prompted his April resignation from Congress. These probes center on claims spanning several years, yet standard prosecutorial processes for review, evidence gathering, and charging decisions typically unfold over months rather than the remaining weeks before May 31. Trader consensus at 96.9% No reflects this structural timeline gap. A rapid arrest would require an unusually expedited filing by one of the involved offices or an unforeseen development accelerating the cases, both of which remain low-probability outcomes based on historical patterns in similar high-profile matters.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย